DTN Market Impact Weather

Showers in Midwest Forecast

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , Ag Meteorologist Emeritus
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Periods of showers for the Midwest and a hot pattern building in central Brazil are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Wednesday.

MIDWEST SHOWERS

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for rain during the past 24 hours to slow harvest progress in many Midwest locations. Episodes of wet weather in the west and north areas may further slow the harvest during the next week.

BENEFICIAL SOUTHERN PLAINS TREND

In the Southern Plains, conditions are mostly favorable for planting winter wheat and for development, following recent beneficial rains.

DRIER AND COLDER IN NORTHERN PLAINS

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Improving conditions for Northern Plains harvest are in effect, with less rain and colder temperatures. A freeze is expected by this coming Saturday.

WETTER DELTA PATTERN

Wet conditions in the Delta due to recent rains will slow the harvest of corn and soybeans and the planting effort for winter wheat. Rain is also unfavorable for open boll cotton.

PRAIRIES FROST

In the Canadian Prairies, colder temperatures with a freeze and frost will help to firm the ground and improve conditions for the harvest, following recent wet -- and in some cases snowy -- weather.

HEAT FOR CENTRAL BRAZIL

Brazil's largest soybean production state, Mato Grosso, will have hot temperatures with a few scattered afternoon showers during the next week. Highs near 100 degrees Fahrenheit (37.8 Celsius) each day during this period will limit the benefit of shower activity that does occur. Longer-range outlooks suggest drier and hotter weather may redevelop over the region during the 10-day period. Rain and cooler temperatures will be needed to support recently-planted soybeans.

MIXED RUSSIA MOISTURE

During the past week, Russia's southern and western winter wheat areas had beneficial rain, with totals of 10-70 millimeters (one-half to one and one-half inches). These rains eased drought and provided much-needed soil moisture for winter wheat establishment. Other crop areas in the Black Sea region are still short on soil moisture.

AUSTRALIA STAYS DRY

There is no significant change to the drought conditions in eastern Australia. Wheat has already been affected. Cotton and sorghum are next for adverse impact due to low or very low irrigation supplies. Meanwhile, the impact from recent frosts in West Australia wheat areas is likely still being assessed. Showers this week may help wheat recover somewhat from the freeze.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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