DTN Market Impact Weather

Harvest Forecast Turns Variable

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Forecasts for rain in portions of the Midwest and showers indicated for central Brazil are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Thursday.

RAIN RETURNS TO MIDWEST FORECAST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for Midwest conditions to be warm and dry through the weekend. This pattern will favor mature crops and harvesting. Showers return to the northwest belt after that, leading to some delay in harvest. There is also a slight chance that rainfall due to post-Tropical Storm Florence would move into Ohio early next week as well.

DRIER FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

Southern Plains areas have a much-improved soil moisture supply for winter wheat planting and fall pasture due to recent rains. The forecast continue to be drier, which may lead to some reduction in moisture.

VARIABLE NORTHERN PLAINS PATTERN

The Northern Plains have favorable conditions for row-crop harvest activity through the end of the week. The pattern turns wetter in the next week, bringing delays to progress.

DRIER FOR DELTA HARVEST

Delta crop areas have improved harvest conditions due to a drier trend this week.

HURRICANE FLORENCE TO DAMAGE SOUTHEAST

Hurricane Florence is bearing down on the Carolina coast as of Thursday morning. Florence, now a Category 2 hurricane, is still expected to bring extreme conditions to the southeast U.S. Thursday night, Friday and Saturday. This means a powerful coastal storm surge, extremely damaging winds and torrential rains leading to widespread and very severe flooding. Rainfall potential is 15 to 25 inches in hardest-hit areas, possibly more due to very slow movement of the system. The heaviest rain appears to be headed for southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina.

There is also at least some risk for heavy rain reaching to east and north Georgia and southern Virginia. Crops impacted would include cotton and peanuts, among others.

WET AND COLDER FOR PRAIRIES

The Canadian Prairies forecast continues to indicate periods of showers during the next week. Showers improve moisture for planting winter grains, but will disrupt summer-crop harvest. Frost or freeze temperatures are also possible, bringing an end to the growing season.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
Connect with Bryce: