DTN Market Impact Weather

Western Midwest Rainfall

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- A favorable pattern in the Midwest, and useful rain in the Southern Plains, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Monday.

FAVORABLE MIDWEST PATTERN

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for filling crops in the western and northern Midwest region to benefit from moderate to heavy rainfall that occurred during the weekend or will occur early this week. There is the potential for warmer to hotter and drier conditions during the 10-day period, but this prospect is not overly concerning at this time.

SOUTHERN PLAINS RAIN

The Southern Plains had moderate to heavy thunderstorms during the weekend, including the Texas Panhandle, but mostly missing the north-central Texas area. The rains will favor filling summer crops and help improve soil moisture in winter wheat areas. Hotter and drier conditions return during the six- to 10-day period.

BENEFICIAL NORTHERN PLAINS RAIN

In the Northern Plains, better-than-expected rains have reached into key corn and soybeans areas of eastern South Dakota, southeast North Dakota and west-central Minnesota during the weekend. This will provide a welcome boost to soil moisture for filling crops in this area.

LIGHT RAIN FOR WEST TEXAS

West Texas had scattered shower and thundershowers during the past weekend, including the Lubbock vicinity. Drier conditions are expected for much of this week and next weekend. Temperatures also turn somewhat higher.

DRY WEEKEND IN PRAIRIES

Canadian Prairies crop development is reported to be ahead of normal with some crops maturing and early harvesting started. Yield reductions are expected due to summer time heat and dryness. Mainly dry weather continues early this week. Later in the week, showers may occur in north and east areas. The weather will turn warm to hot through midweek, somewhat cooler again towards the weekend.

EUROPE STAYS MAINLY DRY

Major crop areas of Europe continue to be very dry, with notable crop reduction. Wheat and corn crop loss has already occurred. Sugar beet production is now at risk from the dry weather pattern. Meanwhile, Ireland, Scotland and northern England saw rain and some wind as post-tropical storm Ernesto tracked across during the weekend.

POSSIBLE EASTERN AUSTRALIA SHOWERS

In eastern Australia, drought and above-normal temperatures have reduced wheat crop prospects in southern Queensland and northern through central New South Wales. Irrigation for cotton and sorghum crops, planted beginning next month, is very low at this time. Mainly dry conditions continue through Thursday. Showers are expected Friday into Saturday, but will offer only slight easing of dryness.

MIXED NORTHEAST CHINA TREND

It was mainly dry and somewhat hot during the weekend for north China. Rain southeast and showers north on Monday. Drier again Tuesday and Wednesday. Crops have recently benefited from rainfall through central and south areas while in the north prior rains have supplied soil moisture for favorable growth.

WEEKEND CENTRAL CHINA RAIN

In central China, Tropical storm Rumbia brought rain and gusty winds to the lower Yangtze River valley and the North China Plain late last week and during the weekend. The rains have improved moisture supplies for filling summer crops and building irrigation for the next winter wheat crop.

HEAVY INDIA RAIN

Across the India subcontinent, heavy to very heavy rain occurred during the past five days in key growing areas for soybeans, cotton, sorghum, groundnuts and sugarcane in West Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra and Gujarat. This is likely to maintain or improve prospects for these crops, especially for cotton and groundnuts in Gujarat.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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