DTN Market Impact Weather

Warmer Midwest Forecast

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- A warming trend for the Midwest, and more heat issues in Russia, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Tuesday.

WARMER AND DRIER FOR MIDWEST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for mostly below-normal rainfall and episodes of hot weather across the Midwest during the next week to 10 days. Soils will turn drier; however, very-wet areas of the northwestern sector of the region will benefit from the drier pattern and floodwater receding. The overall pattern is favorable for crop development.

SCATTERED SOUTHERN PLAINS SHOWERS

In the Southern Plains, scattered thundershowers and variable temperatures this week will offer some respite from recent stressful hot conditions. However, a hotter and drier trend is in store during the 10-day period, increasing stress to summer crops. Overall, there are no significant concerns for the wheat harvest, except in isolated fields in north Kansas and Nebraska that had heavier rains recently.

MAINLY HOT AND DRY IN WEST TEXAS

West Texas crop areas had a few showers Monday and a brief round of cooler conditions. However, the pattern returns to mainly dry during the next week, with only isolated showers. Temperatures will also return to mostly above normal values.

BENEFICIAL NORTHERN PLAINS TREND

The Northern Plains continue with mostly favorable conditions for developing corn, soybeans and spring wheat during the next 10 days. Some brief periods of high temperatures may develop.

MILD IN PRAIRIES

Canadian Prairies crop areas continue with a variable temperature pattern and episodes of showers and rain, mostly favoring crops at this time. Rainfall appears most likely through northwest and east areas during the next 10 days. Wet conditions in southeast Saskatchewan may be somewhat unfavorable; however, most other areas will benefit from rainfall. There is a chance for drier conditions to develop in southwestern areas during the next 10 days.

HOT AGAIN IN SOUTH RUSSIA

The dry and hot pattern in south Russia will continue, and expand into the Volga valley during the next week. Damage to corn and sunflower appears likely. Drier or much drier-than-normal weather is also likely in eastern Ukraine, but probably not as hot. Farther west, recent rain and a current cool weather period will favor crops in central and west Ukraine and in Belarus.

DRY NORTHEAST CHINA PATTERN

Northeast China was mostly dry and very warm during the past 24 hours, with high temperatures reaching into the upper 80s Fahrenheit. Similar conditions are in place Tuesday. Showers will be in the area Wednesday and Thursday, but these may favor west and south areas. Key growing areas for soybeans look to be turning drier under a less-than-ideal rainfall pattern and with episodes of warm to hot weather. However, there will be chances for showers, which will bear watching.

DRY IN NORTH CHINA PLAIN

Northeast and central areas of the North China Plain continue somewhat drier and hotter during this week, except possibly Wednesday when the southern part of the area may see scattered thunderstorms. Northwest areas have had thundershowers during the past 24 hours. Farther south, crops grown in the west and south part of the North china Plain and the Yangtze River valley will continue to benefit from episodes of scattered thunderstorms and milder weather.

FAVORABLE INDIA MONSOON RAIN

Crop areas of west-central and northwest India have seen a recent round of monsoon rains, which have provided a good boost for soil moisture and favorable crop development conditions. Showers will be over north-central and north-central India early this week before settling southward and eastward again later in the week.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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