DTN Market Impact Weather

Rainy, Cooler in Midwest

Elaine Shein
By  Elaine Shein , DTN/Progressive Farmer Associate Content Manager
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Moderate to heavy rain in the Midwest with cooler conditions and rain slowing the harvest in the Southern Plains are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Wednesday.

LOCAL FLOODING WITH MIDWEST RAIN

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for frequent episodes of scattered showers and thunderstorms during the next week in the Midwest. Rainfall, along with cooler weather, will maintain favorable conditions for corn and soybean development while delaying some seasonal fieldwork. Local flooding may occur in the areas of heaviest rainfall.

SOUTHERN PLAINS RAIN

In the Southern Plains, thunderstorms, along with more seasonal temperatures, are expected in north and central areas during the next

five to six days. This should help ease stress to summer crops while being somewhat unfavorable to maturing wheat and delaying harvest. In southern sectors, drier and hotter conditions are favorable for wheat harvest, while maintaining high stress levels on row crops.

DRY WEST TEXAS TREND

West Texas sees drier weather likely through the next 10 days. Temperatures will be more seasonal through Thursday, followed by a return to hot weather.

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MILD NORTHERN PLAINS PATTERN

The Northern Plains continues to have favorable conditions for development of spring wheat, corn and soybeans. Not much rain is forecast in the North Dakota/North Minnesota area during the next seven days. This should reduce soil moisture somewhat. Temperatures are not expected to be very warm.

WARM, DRY FOR PRAIRIES

The Canadian Prairies are still on track for a drier and warmer to hotter period during this week. However, it does not appear to last long enough to be overly concerning for developing crops at this time. Cooler weather is expected for next week in the western and northern areas of the Prairies.

DRIER, HOTTER CONDITIONS IN UKRAINE, RUSSIA

South and east Ukraine and south Russia continue drier and hotter than normal at this time, increasing stress to developing summer grains and oilseeds. A cold front at the end of this week may break the hot spell with showers possible. However, it does not look to be enough rainfall to ease concerns. The temperature pattern going forward is more variable in nature. The rainfall pattern looks to continue below-normal levels.

MORE NORTHEAST CHINA SHOWERS

In northeast China, episodes of showers and cool conditions will favor development of corn and soybeans in the area at this time. Only minor fieldwork delays are expected.

NORTH CHINA PLAIN MOSTLY DRY

Key growing areas in the north China plain continue mostly dry or with only isolated showers during the next five days. Temperatures are above normal as highs reach the middle 90s Fahrenheit each day. After that period, a somewhat more variable temperature pattern is expected. This may allow for some increase in shower threats. Rainfall is needed to support favorable development of summer crops, especially as temperatures have climbed higher.

STALLED INDIA MONSOON

The leading edge of the India monsoon remains only over the southern fringe of the soybean belt in India; however, yesterday thunderstorms developed in some key growing areas north of this line. The monsoon appears to be improving somewhat at this time. This might suggest improving rainfall chances in key central interior growing areas, especially the soybean belt, key sorghum, sugarcane and cotton areas. It's uncertain if this will also include the Gujarat region, which grows peanuts and cotton.

Elaine Shein can be reached at elaine.shein@dtn.com

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Elaine Shein

Elaine Shein
Connect with Elaine: