DTN Market Impact Weather

OMAHA (DTN) -- Hot Midwest weekend weather, and dry conditions in Russia crop areas, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.

MIDWEST HEATS UP

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for a weekend of hot conditions across the Midwest. Recent rainfall has provided for favorable soil moisture levels in many areas. This moisture should diminish under the hotter and drier pattern during this timeframe. In the longer range, a new round of showers is expected to form during next week, along with moderating temperatures.

HOT WEEKEND IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

The Southern Plains have very hot and mostly dry conditions, which maintain high stress levels on developing summer crops, while favoring mature wheat and wheat harvest during the weekend. An increase in showers is expected next week along with more seasonal temperatures. This should help ease stress on summer crops while being somewhat unfavorable for mature wheat and wheat harvest.

SCATTERED WEST TEXAS RAIN

West Texas dryland cotton is likely to have major losses due to hot and dry conditions. A few scattered showers will be in the area Sunday and Monday, but the heaviest of this activity looks to occur in New Mexico. In the longer range, there is a promise of showers for much of next week. However, for the most part these showers look to be light to locally moderate. High temperatures show less-stressful values than recently, with mostly upper 80s to low 90s Fahrenheit.

LIGHTER RAIN IN NORTHERN PLAINS

In the Northern Plains, generally favorable conditions for development of spring wheat, corn and soybeans are in effect. However, a drier and warmer trend in North Dakota next week will bear watching.

DRIER FOR PRAIRIES

The Canadian Prairies will turn drier and warmer next week under a building upper-level high pressure ridge. Conditions currently favor developing crops, but this drying trend will bear watching.

DRY RUSSIA FORECAST

Across the Black Sea region, increasing shower and thundershower activity in western and central Ukraine should help ease stress to developing corn and soybeans. However, eastern Ukraine and south Russia should trend hotter and stay drier during the next week.

PERIODIC NORTHEAST CHINA SHOWERS

Northeast China saw a round of scattered thunderstorms occurred in the southern sectors of the region during the past few days. Continued occasional showers and thundershowers are forecast through the weekend, helping to ease dryness concerns.

HOTTER NORTH CHINA PLAIN FORECAST

In the North China Plains, thunderstorms developed in the northeast part of the region at the end of this week. Mainly dry conditions were noted elsewhere in the region. Temperatures may turn lower in the region during the next few days. The region likely continues to see episodes of hot weather and less-than-needed rainfall during the next week.

DELAYED INDIA MONSOON

The leading edge of the India monsoon remains over the northern part of south India and in northeast India, now about five to 10 days behind average for this date. Rainfall associated with the monsoon has retreated south and east during the past five days. This likely means that further progress to the north and northwest will slow into next week. The rains stay south and east of key growing areas for cotton, soybeans, groundnuts, sugarcane and sorghum in west-central India. Temperatures likely turn higher as showers diminish.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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