DTN Market Impact Weather

Drier Midwest Forecast

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN)— Lighter precipitation over the next week in the Midwest, and a continued mostly dry trend over the Black Sea region, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Wednesday.

LIMITED MIDWEST FOLLOW-UP RAIN

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for very little stress in general to Midwest row crops during the next few days. A warmer-to-hotter weather trend later this week and during the coming weekend will be watched for possible stress to crops. Recent rainfall has provided for favorable soil moisture levels in many areas. However, forecasts indicate very little follow-up rain in store through the next week to 10 days.

STILL HOT IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

In the Southern Plains, more episodes of above- to much-above-normal temperatures and limited rainfall will decrease soil moisture and increase stress on developing corn and soybeans. Meanwhile, the heat and dryness will be favorable for maturing winter wheat and wheat harvest.

MORE WEST TEXAS HEAT

West Texas cotton areas have persistent hot and dry weather, which is expected to lead to major losses to dryland cotton.

BENEFICIAL NORTHERN PLAINS TREND

Northern Plains crop areas continue with generally favorable conditions for development of spring wheat, corn and soybeans.

PRAIRIES PATTERN CHANGE

The Canadian Prairies will see additional showers during the next few days, will favor emerging and developing crops. A turn to drier and much warmer conditions is forecast during the six- to 10-day period. This will begin to deplete available soil moisture and will bear watching.

SCATTERED UKRAINE SHOWERS

In the Black Sea region, thunderstorms have developed in a parts of northeast and southwest Ukraine during the past 24 hours. This will help ease dryness concerns for some areas, but more widespread and frequent showers are needed to reverse the recent drying trend over the remainder of Ukraine through southern Russia.

NORTHEAST CHINA RAIN CHANCES

In northeastern China, scattered thunderstorms occurred Tuesday through the southern sectors. The area will see occasional showers and thundershowers during the coming days, helping to ease dryness concerns for corn and soybeans.

DRY OVER NORTH CHINA PLAIN

The North China Plain was mainly dry during the past 24 hours, with hot weather. Thunderstorms may settle south into the northeast part of this area Wednesday. The weather will cool some during the next few days, but likely turn hot again by the weekend. Rain is needed and lower temperatures preferred for emerging and developing spring planted crops.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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