DTN Market Impact Weather

Generally Favorable Midwest Conditions

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Beneficial conditions for Midwest crops, and minimal rain in the Southern Plains and Black Sea regions, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Tuesday.

BENEFICIAL MIDWEST PATTERN

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for very little stress in general to Midwest row crops from a warmer to hotter weather trend later this week and during the coming weekend, unless it lasts longer than is currently expected. Recent rainfall has provided for favorable soil moisture levels in many areas while the southwestern portion of the region is still on the dry side.

CONTINUED HOT IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

In the Southern Plains, additional episodes of above- to much-above-normal temperatures and limited rainfall will decrease soil moisture and increase stress on developing corn and soybeans. This pattern, however, is favorable harvest weather for maturing winter wheat and harvest progress.

STILL DRY FOR WEST TEXAS COTTON

West Texas cotton areas have more hot and dry conditions ahead through the rest of the week. Significant cotton production declines are expected.

STILL FAVORABLE IN NORTHERN PLAINS

Northern Plains' crop areas continue with generally favorable conditions for development of spring wheat, corn and soybeans.

MORE PRAIRIES SHOWERS

Across the Canadian Prairies, periods of showers and a variable temperature pattern continue to favor emerging and developing spring wheat and canola during at least the next five days.

ONGOING BLACK SEA DRYNESS

In Russia and Ukraine, dryness continues in major crop areas. The dry trend has already brought on lower prospects for wheat production. Attention is now turning to concern for development of corn and sunflower crops.

SHOWERS FOR NORTHEAST CHINA

The northeast China growing areas, Liaoning to Heilongjiang, will see episodes of showers and more seasonal temperatures during the coming days, which helps improve conditions for emerging and developing crops. The North China Plain crop belt continues hot and drier during the next five days, increasing stress on spring planted crops in the area while favoring maturing winter grains and oilseeds and aiding in these harvests.

STALLED INDIA MONSOON

The leading edge of the India monsoon is over the northern part of south India and in northeast India Tuesday, normal to a few days delayed for this date. It appears that the monsoon may be in a weakening phase at this time. This likely means that further progress to the north and northwest may slow this week. The rains will back away from key growing areas for cotton, soybeans, groundnuts, sugarcane and sorghum in the west-central India region. Temperatures likely turn higher as shower activity diminishes.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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