DTN Market Impact Weather

More Rain for Midwest

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Ongoing rain in most of the Midwest and continued dry conditions across the Black Sea region are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Monday.

CONTINUED RAIN FOR MIDWEST

The DTN ag weather forecast continues to spotlight a favorable weather pattern for developing corn and soybeans Midwest. This pattern is expected to continue during the next seven to 10 days, with adequate soil moisture being maintained despite episodes of above- to much-above-normal temperatures.

MORE SOUTHERN PLAINS HEAT

In the Southern Plains, more episodes of above- to much-above-normal temperatures and limited rainfall will decrease soil moisture and increase stress on developing corn and soybeans. This combination is mostly favorable for maturing winter wheat and harvest.

CHRONIC DRYNESS IN WEST TEXAS COTTON

Dryland cotton areas in west Texas remain hot and dry. Significant cotton production declines are expected.

BENEFICIAL IN NORTHERN PLAINS

Northern Plains crop areas again have generally favorable conditions for development of spring wheat, corn and soybeans.

FAVORABLE CANADIAN PRAIRIES RAIN

Canadian Prairies crop areas have additional showers and variable temperatures, favorable for emerging and developing spring wheat and canola during at least the next five to seven days, and possibly longer.

LIMITED BLACK SEA RAIN

Russia and Ukraine wheat areas have very little rain forecast this week. Wheat production this year is widely expected to be less than a year ago.

SCATTERED NORTHEAST CHINA RAIN

In central and northeastern China, increasing shower activity and less hot weather should help to improve conditions for emerging and developing corn and soybeans during the next five to seven days. Recent hot and dry conditions have diminished soils moisture in key growing areas, so this shift in the pattern is needed.

INDIA MONSOON STALLS

The leading edge of the India monsoon is about at normal levels over the northern part of the southern India region, but is somewhat behind normal in the northeast. Showers ahead of this front have occurred into north-central and west-central India as well. It appears that the monsoon may be in a weakening phase at this time. This may mean that further progress to the north and northwest may slow this week. The rains may back away from key growing areas for cotton, soybeans, groundnuts, sugarcane and sorghum in the west-central India region.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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