Market Impact Weather

Scattered Argentina Rain

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , Ag Meteorologist Emeritus
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Scattered rainfall in Argentina, and mostly favorable conditions in Brazil, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Tuesday.

MIXED ARGENTINA RAIN

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for scattered showers in the eastern sectors of Argentina's major crop areas to offer beneficial crop moisture. Crops in western areas still need better rainfall.

MORE CENTRAL BRAZIL RAIN

Central Brazil maintains a pattern of consistent showers through the next week. This regularly occurring precipitation has crop conditions and prospects in favorable categories.

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DRYNESS IN SOUTHERN BRAZIL

In southern Brazil, heat and dryness are causing stress to row crops. Some showers and milder weather are expected this week. This prospect appears more likely in Parana and Mato Grosso do Sul than in Rio Grande do Sul. The best chance for significant rain in Rio Grande do Sul appears to be Friday.

WETTER EASTERN MIDWEST FORECAST

In the Midwest, moderate to heavy rain continues in store for the Ohio Valley during the next five days, with heavy rain farther south in the Delta. This helps recharge soil moisture for soft red winter wheat. Some ice and snow are also possible, which would affect transportation and travel. Elsewhere, northern areas have a chance at measurable snow, with dry and cold conditions otherwise.

COLDER FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

A strong push of cold Arctic air is in store for the Northern Plains later this week and continuing through next week. This may be preceded by snow and blowing snow Wednesday.

DRYNESS LINGERS IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

In the Southern Plains, a warm and dry pattern continues to stress non-dormant winter wheat. Dryness is expected during the next 10 days. Much colder conditions are expected during the six- to 10-day period, which should put all of the crop into dormancy. However, this colder pattern will also cause some potential stress to wheat because of the rapid change in temperatures.

GLOBAL WARMTH CONTINUES

The latest report on world climate trends from the U.S. National Centers for Environmental Information noted that January-to-November 2017 was the third-warmest on record, behind the record-warm year 2016 and the second-warmest year on record 2015. The past three years have been the warmest in the 1880-to-2017 period.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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