Market Impact Weather

OMAHA (DTN) -- A drier pattern for the western Midwest, precipitation to slow or delay harvest in areas of the eastern Midwest, and variable South America rain, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.

VARIABLE MIDWEST CONDITIONS

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for drier weather during the next five days in the Midwest, along with warmer weather for the last part of the period, which will favor harvest activity in the Midwest region. Longer range, we will need to deal with potential for unsettled weather and cold snaps, but this is not until the end of next week and next weekend.

In the western Midwest, there may be a few light showers with locally heavier amounts on Tuesday, favoring eastern and southern areas. In the eastern Midwest, dry or only a little light precipitation during Saturday night or during Sunday will take place, then scattered light to locally moderate precipitation during Wednesday.

In the six- to 10-day outlook, precipitation should average near to below normal west, near to above normal through east areas, especially northeast areas.

WARMER WEATHER AHEAD FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

The Southern Plains will see favorable conditions for developing winter wheat at this time. A colder trend continues today before warmer weather redevelops. Soil moisture due to early season rainfall will favor crop development. However, a drying trend in the region does bear watching as we head into winter dormancy.

VARIABLE BRAZIL CONDITIONS

There will be an improving rainfall pattern for planting and developing soybeans in central Brazil after earlier hot, dry weather. A break in the rainy pattern over southern areas may help improve conditions for planting and early development during the coming days, cool at first and then warmer to hotter conditions are expected.

MOSTLY FAVORABLE ARGENTINA CONDITIONS

Central Argentina is expecting mostly favorable conditions at this time for planting and development of corn, soybeans and sunflower and for developing winter wheat. However, some wet weather in southern growing areas may slow planting progress at times in key sunflower areas. High temperatures from Sunday through Tuesday are not overly a concern at this date, except they will reduce available soil moisture somewhat.

COLD FRONTS FOR SOUTH AFRICA

A recent turn to hot, dry weather in the region may delay planting progress for western growing areas and increase stress to germination and early development of maize in the east. A weak cold front moves through today and Saturday with a few showers and less hot weather likely. A strong cold front is projected for the region next Tuesday into Wednesday with the chance for heavier thunderstorms and significantly cooler weather.

Elaine Shein can be reached at elaine.shein@dtn.com

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