Market Impact Weather

Variable Midwest Harvest Conditions

Elaine Shein
By  Elaine Shein , DTN/Progressive Farmer Associate Content Manager
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OMAHA (DTN) -- A mainly dry trend this week for the western Midwest, rain slowing the harvest for the eastern Midwest, and a wetter trend for central Brazil, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Tuesday.

VARIABLE MIDWEST CONDITIONS

The DTN ag weather forecast for the Midwest calls for episodes of cool, unsettled weather to continue to slow harvest progress during this week. Warmer weather may, at times, help to dry soils out somewhat during the extended range, although this is not certain. For the western Midwest, it will be a mostly dry pattern, with no significant rain, which will help harvest move forward. The eastern Midwest will have light-to-moderate precipitation during the next few days, and this will slow or delay harvest efforts and fieldwork. In the six- to 10-day outlook for the Midwest, variable temperatures are expected, with precipitation near to below normal in the west, and near to above in the east.

WARMER FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

In the Southern Plains, conditions will be favorable for planting and developing winter wheat during this week. Cold weekend weather will likely slow development, while warmer weather this week will be more favorable. A drying trend in the region does bear watching as the crop heads into winter dormancy.

IMPROVING CONDITIONS IN BRAZIL

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An improving rainfall pattern for planting and developing soybeans in central Brazil is expected this week, after several weeks of hot, dry weather. Drier weather would benefit planting in southern Brazil, especially in parts of Parana that had heavy thunderstorms this weekend. Central Brazil sees more of a rainy pattern for the next few days; southern Brazil will be mostly dry until Thursday night, then have scattered showers and thundershowers Friday through Sunday.

FAVORABLE ARGENTINA OUTLOOK

Argentina's main crop belt will see mostly favorable conditions at this time for planting and development of corn and sunflower and for developing winter wheat. Central Argentina will see showers developing Wednesday or Wednesday night for the next few days, then be mostly dry by Friday and over the weekend.

DRIER, WARMER IN AUSTRALIA

There's a somewhat drier, warmer period through east-central Australia at this time. This should help improve conditions for mature wheat and wheat harvesting. Soil moisture and warm weather favor development of cotton and sorghum.

PRECIPITATION FOR UKRAINE/SOUTH RUSSIA

Episodes of light-to-moderate precipitation with some heavy precipitation will help recharge soil moisture for winter grains while also delaying any late-autumn fieldwork in Ukraine and south Russia. However, a turn to colder weather will also slow development and limit the chances for improved condition of the crop heading into winter dormancy.

DRIER, HOTTER WEEK AHEAD FOR SOUTH AFRICA

Significant rain activity has been reported in key growing areas of South Africa during October. This should help condition soils for planting. Planting is likely ongoing in the eastern belt. Farmers in the west normally plant later, but some may take advantage of the early moisture and begin planting sooner, rather than later. A drying trend is expected this week, along with potentially hot weather. This may slow down planting and diminish soil moisture.

Elaine Shein can be reached at elaine.shein@dtn.com

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Elaine Shein

Elaine Shein
Connect with Elaine: