Market Impact Weather

Variable Midwest Harvest Forecast

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Ag Meteorologist and DTN Analyst
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Mixed conditions in the harvest forecast for the Midwest, and increased rain chances over central Brazil, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.

MIXED MIDWEST HARVEST OUTLOOK

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for a more-variable pattern for Midwest harvest weather in the next week. All locales will be dry Friday. Showers and thunderstorms move into the region Saturday. Western and northern Midwest precipitation will be light with minimal harvest disruptions. Eastern and southern sectors have heavier precipitation, with more extensive delays as a result.

MAINLY DRY IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

In the Southern Plains, favorable dry conditions for planting winter wheat and harvesting summer crops remain in place. Southeastern plains areas will be in line for showers and thunderstorms through the weekend.

SOUTHEASTERN SHOWERS NEXT WEEK

The Delta and southeastern U.S. continue with a dry and mild pattern for harvest and fieldwork to finish this week. Showers and thunderstorms are indicated during the weekend in the Delta, and progressing into the southeastern U.S. during early to mid-next week period. Rain will disrupt fall harvest, but will be favorable for winter wheat.

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CONTINUED DRY IN NORTHERN PLAINS

In the Northern Plains, mild and dry conditions continue to favor harvest progress.

INCREASED BRAZIL RAIN PROSPECT

There are indications of a more seasonal trend for central Brazil during the next week. Thundershowers were noted Thursday. Additional shower chances are featured in forecast for the next five to seven days. This will be closely watched for soil moisture improvement for planting soybeans.

DRY FOR ARGENTINA PLANTING

Central Argentina continues with a dry pattern, favorable for planting.

WESTERN UKRAINE SHOWERS

Ukraine and southern Russia have favorable conditions. Winter wheat planting has also been ongoing. Ukraine winter wheat planting is reported at 90% done, with slightly larger planted area than a year ago. Western Ukraine has showers indicated over the next five days.

SCATTERED AUSTRALIA RAIN

Light rain is forecast for western and southern crop areas of Australia over the next week, with northeastern sectors seeing moderate to locally heavy precipitation. Rain in the northeast areas is beneficial for summer crops, but is too late to rescue drought-damaged wheat. The total Australia wheat crop is projected to be down more than 40% from a year ago due to persistent dryness.

BENEFICIAL SOUTH AFRICA MOISTURE

Significant rain activity has been reported in key South Africa growing areas this month. This should help condition soils for planting.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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