Market Impact Weather

Slow Midwest Crop Development

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , DTN Ag Meteorologist and DTN Analyst
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Cool Midwest weather, and harvest delays due to flooding from former Hurricane Harvey, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.

COOL FOR MIDWEST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for rain from Tropical Depression Harvey to disrupt seasonal fieldwork through southeast and east-central areas of the Midwest through the weekend. Conditions remain generally favorable for maturing corn and filling soybeans elsewhere in the region. However, cooler weather during the middle of next week will slow the rate of progress. After a cool pattern in early September, warmer conditions are forecast, which would be more favorable for progress.

MOSTLY MILD SOUTHERN PLAINS TREND

Southern Plains conditions are generally favorable. Light showers cross the region during the weekend. Far southern areas will continue to have extensive delays in harvest due to the impact of flooding from Hurricane Harvey.

HEAVY DELTA RAIN

In the Delta, heavy to very heavy rain and wind developed during the past 24 hours as tropical depression Harvey moved through the region. Delays to harvesting will likely continue for at least several days due to the rain and flooding. Quality reductions are likely to occur, especially to open boll cotton. Harvest losses are also expected, especially in southern areas that have been wet much of the late-summer period. A drying trend is likely through the weekend, which should help in recovery.

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MILD FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

In the Northern Plains, above-normal temperatures for at least another four days will help advance crop development ahead of any potentially colder weather after that. It does not appear that conditions will be cold enough to cause a threatening frost next week.

VARIABLE PRAIRIES TEMPERATURES

The Canadian Prairies have mostly favorable conditions for wheat and canola harvest. Late-filling canola will benefit from continued warm weather through the weekend. Colder conditions early next week may bring readings down to frost levels, possibly even a light freeze in some areas; however, this should be followed by a warmer trend at the end of the week.

HURRICANE IRMA IN ATLANTIC

Hurricane Irma, with 115-mile-per-hour winds, is in the Atlantic Ocean, about 1,600 miles east of the Leeward Islands. The Category 3 hurricane is moving toward the west-northwest. A turn toward the west is expected by Friday night, followed by a turn toward the west-southwest on Saturday. Irma's track will be closely monitored during the weekend.

DRY TREND IN NORTHEAST CHINA

In northeastern China, dryness remains of some concern for key soybean and corn growing areas in west-central to northwest areas. Showers may increase in the area early next week, but it is getting a little late in the season for rain to offer significant benefit. Through the balance of the region, conditions mostly will favor filling soybeans and corn.

LATE INDIA MONSOON RAIN

In South Asia, a late-season push to the monsoon has brought significant rains to key growing areas of Pakistan during the past 48 hours. Heavy rains hit Sind province in the southeast. Moderate to heavy rains have also hit Punjab, Pakistan and northwest growing areas of India. Rain in these areas will help improve irrigation and soil moisture for summer crops and irrigation for winter crops.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

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Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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