Market Impact Weather

Short-Term Midwest Rain

Bryce Anderson , DTN Ag Meteorologist and DTN Analyst

OMAHA (DTN) -- Milder temperatures with showers for the Midwest during the weekend and reduced spring wheat production due to recent dryness are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.

WEEKEND MIDWEST SHOWERS

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for more seasonal temperatures and increasing shower activity to improve conditions for developing Midwest crops after recent hot temperatures.

HOT AND DRY IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

In the Southern Plains, very warm to hot and dry conditions are mostly favorable for maturing winter wheat and the harvest.

COOLER OVER NORTHERN PLAINS

In the Northern Plains, light rain is indicated through the next week. Temperatures will be near to below normal. This combination will favor row-crop development, but recent heat and dryness has already reduced the projection for spring wheat production this season.

MIXED RESULT FROM PRAIRIES RAIN

In the Canadian Prairies, rainfall that has occurred this week has improved conditions for developing crops in south-central and east areas following the prior extended drier spell. Rains over central and north Alberta and northwest Saskatchewan maintain conditions too wet for fieldwork and may promote increased disease.

LIMITED UKRAINE RAINFALL

Light-to-moderate rain continues in the forecast for Ukraine and Russia crop areas over the next five to seven days. The area with rain includes the dry central sector of Ukraine. Precipitation will be welcome.

MIDWEEK DRYNESS IN NORTHEAST CHINA

Hot and dry conditions remain in effect over northeastern China for the next several days. This favors planting progress, but is unfavorable for germination and early development of recently-planted crops. The outlook calls for increasing shower activity and cooler conditions later this weekend through early next week. If verified, this will be a beneficial rain event.

WEEKEND SHOWERS FOR NORTHEAST CHINA

Northeastern China has a hot and dry beginning to the weekend. This favors planting progress but is unfavorable for germination and early development of recently planted crops. The outlook calls for increasing shower activity and cooler conditions over the weekend through early next week. If verified this will be a beneficial rain event.

DRIER INDIA TREND

Little significant rainfall is expected in the major soybean and cotton areas of west central India during the next week. More rain will be needed in the coming weeks to support crop planting and development.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

(ES)