Border Talks Shift Cattle Markets

By Jennifer Carrico, DTN Senior Livestock Editor, and Chris Clayton, DTN Ag Policy Editor

OMAHA (DTN) -- Cattle market prices fell again on Monday following reports on Friday that Mexico's agricultural minister will visit with U.S. Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins about reopening the border for live cattle imports.

Last week, the cattle and beef industry was front and center in national news with debate about beef prices, Argentine beef imports, President Donald Trump's social media comments about cattle markets, and the administration's plan to rebuild the cattle herd while lowering prices for consumers.

Then came more discussion between the Trump administration and Mexican officials about reopening live cattle imports.

DTN Livestock Analyst Shayle Stewart said that Monday was another tumultuous day for the cattle complex, as live cattle contracts closed anywhere from $6 to $9 lower, and feeder cattle contracts closed at their expanded daily limit of $13.75 lower.

"Unfortunately, on Monday morning, the cattle markets opened to another day of unbridled chaos, as traders continued to panic about what could come next," Stewart said. "Whether that would be a new comment made by President Trump or some update about how the meeting with Brooke Rollins went with Mexico, the suspense was simply too much for the market to bear, and traders let their nervous nature lead to a sharply lower close."

"It was bad enough to see the prices drop as abruptly as they did, but to make matters even worse, the spot November feeder cattle contract closed below its 100-day moving average, and the spot December live cattle contract closed below its 100-day moving average as well. That could signal more technical down pressure for both the markets."

Reuters reported that Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum said Agriculture Minister Julio Bergegue would meet with Rollins this week about allowing imports of Mexican feeder cattle, which have been kept out of the U.S. market since July.

CATTLE IMPORTS DOWN

The U.S. imported 1.2 million head from Mexico annually in both 2023 and 2024, but that number has fallen to 230,000 head in 2025. Live cattle imports were shut down in May but reopened briefly in July until New World screwworm was detected on July 9 in Veracruz, Mexico, about 370 miles from the U.S.

Since then, NWS has continued to move through the country, with the latest case in mid-September in the state of Nuevo Leon, Mexico, less than 70 miles from the Texas border. Mexico has said these cases in the uppermost region of Mexico have been contained and resolved, as they were cattle that had been transported from a region farther south.

Following the Sep. 21 announcement, Rollins said in an USDA news release, "Protecting the United States from NWS is non-negotiable and a top priority of the Trump Administration. This is a national security priority."

STERILE FLY RELEASE CONTINUES

USDA continues to release 100 million sterile flies per week in Mexico, which are sourced from the facility in Panama. Both the U.S. and Mexico are planning production facilities.

Mexico plans to renovate a facility in Metapa, which has been a fruit fly facility. This facility is expected to produce 60 million to 100 million sterile flies as soon as the summer of 2026.

The sterile fly dispersal facility at Moore Air Base in Edinburg, Texas, is projected to begin operating in early 2026. The sterile fly production facility at the same location is expected to be complete toward the end of 2026, with a targeted maximum capacity of 300 million sterile flies per week, according to USDA.

Currently, NWS has not been detected in the U.S. NWS fly larvae infest living tissue of warm-blooded animals by burrowing into wounds. If left untreated, it can cause the animal to die.

NWS was eradicated from the U.S. in 1966 using the sterile insect technique, a method used again in the Florida Keys in 2016.

TEXAS AG COMMISSIONER CALLS FOR ALLOWING IMPORTS

Texas Agriculture Commissioner Sid Miller also, last week, proposed allowing "targeted imports" of Mexican cattle to stabilize supplies. Miller had issued a series of recommendations after USDA released its plan for cattle markets on Wednesday.

Miller's proposal stated, "The quickest way to reduce beef prices and do it within 24 hours is to import feeder cattle instead of boxed beef. Normally, about 15% of our feeder cattle come from Mexico, but shipments have been backed up for almost a year, creating shortages. As we enter the Mexican feeder cattle season (November to February), we can safely reopen ports of entry in a controlled, incremental way without risking the spread of pests like the screwworm fly. A measured, well-thought-out approach to live cattle imports will stabilize supplies while protecting U.S. biosecurity."

For more on the cattle markets, see "Call the Market: After Last Week's Chaos, Cattle Complex Asks: Now What?" by DTN Livestock Analyst ShayLe Stewart here: https://www.dtnpf.com/….

Also see "Trump's Plans for Cattle Markets" here: https://www.dtnpf.com/….

Jennifer Carrico can be reached at jennifer.carrico@dtn.com

Follow her on social platform X @JennCattleGal

Chris Clayton can be reached at Chris.Clayton@dtn.com

Follow him on social platform X @ChrisClaytonDTN

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