DTN Digital Yield Tour 2024
Results From the 2024 DTN Digital Yield Tour
This page was last updated at 3:34 p.m. CDT on Friday, Aug. 16.
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The 2024 DTN Digital Yield Tour finds most states in the Corn Belt are vying for a record this year in either corn or soybean yield, fueled by a wet growing season that wiped long-term drought off the map.
The Digital Yield Tour has always employed the power of satellite imagery and data science to provide insights into growing conditions around the Corn Bell, but this year, it used DTN's propriety yield models.
Over the course of the week, DTN published articles on nine states, highlighting the differences and similarities between USDA's yield estimates, which were released on Monday, and DTN's, which were computed on Aug. 11. Below, you will find a table of DTN Digital Yield Tour results as well as links to articles on each state.
"Overall, it's been a really good weather year in the U.S. Corn Belt," DTN Ag Meteorologist John Baranick said. "The reluctance of a flip to a La Nina situation in the tropical Pacific Ocean meant that weather systems came and went frequently, and a summer heat ridge was shifty instead of firm and damaging."
This season also eliminated a multi-year drought in the Western Corn Belt. "A scare in the Eastern Corn Belt in June didn't last long, and the active pattern meant that extreme heat was usually brief when it occurred, and largely missed the north," Baranick said.
"However, that active pattern also meant historic flooding in and around Minnesota and active severe weather from Nebraska to Illinois especially. Still, with most of the Corn Belt devoid of drought and stocked with good soil moisture, it's hard to argue with the forecast for really good yields in most of the region, and record yields in some spots, even if there are differences between DTN and the USDA."
Baranick will discuss weather for the remainder of the growing season and harvest at a DTN Ag Summit Series webinar next week. DTN Lead Analyst Todd Hultman will also outline the ramifications of this bumper crop on the balance sheet. You can register for free here: https://dtn.link/….
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AUGUST YIELD ESTIMATES AT A GLANCE
CORN (bushels per acre)
| STATE | DTN | USDA | 2023 |
| Illinois | 211.8 | 225 | 206.0 |
| Indiana | 196.0 | 207 | 203.0 |
| Iowa | 205.0 | 209 | 201.0 |
| Minnesota | 186.7 | 185 | 185.0 |
| Missouri | 170.1 | 181 | 153.0 |
| Nebraska | 198.3 | 194 | 182.0 |
| Ohio | 190.8 | 188 | 198.0 |
| South Dakota | 166.7 | 162 | 152.00 |
| Wisconsin | 183.0 | 183 | 176.0 |
SOYBEANS (bushels per acre)
| STATE | DTN | USDA | 2023 |
| Illinois | 61.5 | 66.0 | 63.0 |
| Indiana | 58.7 | 62.0 | 61.0 |
| Iowa | 59.4 | 61.0 | 58.0 |
| Minnesota | 51.4 | 49.0 | 48.0 |
| Missouri | 49.7 | 51.0 | 48.0 |
| Nebraska | 61.8 | 59.0 | 51.5 |
| Ohio | 56.4 | 59.0 | 58.0 |
| South Dakota | 50.1 | 47.0 | 44.0 |
| Wisconsin | 54.4 | 53.0 | 51.0 |
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PREVIEW:
"DTN Powers 7th Digital Yield Tour With Proprietary Yield Models," https://www.dtnpf.com/…
The DTN Digital Yield is switching sources for its seventh season and will now be powered by DTN's proprietary yield models. The wettest soil moisture profile in four years has corn and soybeans chasing record yields.
DAY 1:-- Illinois
"Favorable Rains Feed Record Yield Expectations in Illinois Despite Derecho," https://www.dtnpf.com/…
The DTN Digital Yield Tour sees Illinois corn yields averaging 212 bushels per acre in 2024, with county yield estimates ranging from a low of 156 bpa in Franklin County to a high of 243 bpa in Warren County. USDA sees the statewide yield at 225 bpa, as plentiful rain and warm temperatures boosted crops.
-- Ohio
"Ohio Expects 191 BPA Average Corn Yield Despite Lingering Drought Conditions," https://www.dtnpf.com/…
The DTN Digital Yield Tour estimates a 191-bushel-per-acre average corn yield in Ohio, with Greene County topping the charts at 205 bpa and Carroll County bringing up the rear at 152 bpa.
DAY 2:-- Iowa
"Iowa Could Set Statewide Corn Yield Record of 205 BPA in 2024," https://www.dtnpf.com/…
Iowa is on pace to set a new corn yield record, with the DTN Digital Yield Tour estimating the state will produce an average of 205 bushels per acre. The tour expects strong, but not recording-breaking, soybean production.
-- Minnesota
"Minnesota Corn Yields Average 187 BPA on Digital Yield Tour," https://www.dtnpf.com/…
Minnesota's summer rainfall swamped the corn crop, leading to expectations of a 187-bushel-per-acre average corn crop. Soybean yields are forecast at 51.4 bpa.
-- South Dakota
"South Dakota Farmers Wonder Where They'll Store This Year's Bumper Corn, Soybean Crops," https://www.dtnpf.com/…
Record yields could be in the cards for South Dakota, with the 2024 DTN Digital Yield Tour estimating corn yields averaging 167 bushels per acre and soybean yields averaging 50 bpa.
DAY 3:-- Indiana
"Indiana Corn Yields May Fall Short of Beating 2023's Record, Yield Tour Finds," https://www.dtnpf.com/…
The DTN Digital Yield Tour estimates Indiana corn yield at 196 bushels per acre, 9 bushels lower than USDA's record-breaking estimate. The Digital Yield Tour also sees soybean yields falling shy of last year's record at 59 bpa.
-- Wisconsin
"Wisconsin Corn Needs Late Frost to Meet Its Record Corn Crop Potential," https://www.dtnpf.com/…
The DTN Digital Yield Tour matches USDA's 183-bushel-per-acre corn yield estimate for Wisconsin, which would be a new record. Soybean yields could average 54.4 bpa, just shy of the state's 55 bpa record.
DAY 4:-- Nebraska
"Nebraska Has Record Corn Yield Potential, But Storm Damage Casts Doubts," https://www.dtnpf.com/…
The DTN Digital Yield Tour estimates Nebraska corn yields will average 198 bushels per acre in 2024, which would set a new state record. Soybeans are expected to average 61.8 bpa.
-- Missouri
"Missouri Overcomes Drought Conditions to Raise Big Corn, Soybean Crops," https://www.dtnpf.com/…
The DTN Digital Yield Tour projects Missouri corn yields at 170 bushels per acre and soybean yields at 49.7 bpa. While DTN and USDA are close on soybeans, USDA thinks Missouri farmers will harvest an average 181 bpa on corn, tying last year's record.
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