Market Impact Weather

OMAHA (DTN) -- A chance for showers for Argentina and southern Brazil, and some possible rain for the Southern Plains, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Friday.

POSSIBLE ARGENTINA SHOWERS

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for showers for southern areas of Argentina on Sunday and for the main growing belt Monday. However, this activity does not appear to be enough to significantly change the situation for either crop. The six- to 10-day outlook continues to see below-normal rains. Stress will continue due to drying soils and episodes of above-normal temperatures. Crop losses appear likely.

CHANCE FOR RAIN IN SOUTHERN BRAZIL

In Brazil, there appears to be at least some chance for moderate to locally heavy rain in Rio Grande do Sul this coming Monday into Tuesday, favoring west and north areas. After that, the chance for meaningful rain appears limited during the next 10 days. Rain is likely to return to Parana and the center-west areas of Brazil late this weekend through early next week. This will disrupt the harvest of soybeans and the planting effort for second-crop corn.

SOME RAIN CHANCES IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

The current weather pattern with ridging in the southeast and a trough in the southwest increases the chance for needed rains to occur in a portion of the Central and Southern Plains region. The best chance is in southeast areas, but there is at least some chance for needed rains in south-central and a portion of the east-central growing belt as well.

VARIABLE CONDITIONS FOR NORTHERN PLAINS/MIDWEST

Episodes of snow and cold will continue to stress livestock in the Northern Plains and disrupt transport at times. A more variable temperature and precipitation pattern will be seen in the southern Minnesota and Iowa areas with warm and cold weather and rain and snow chances.

FAVORABLE SOUTH AFRICA CONDITIONS

South Africa maize and sugarcane areas will see a mostly favorable weather pattern for maize and sugarcane areas at this time. Episodes of scattered thundershowers and warm weather favor reproductive to filling crops.

Elaine Shein can be reached at Elaine.shein@dtn.com

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