Commodities Market Impact Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Additional rain for the Plains and Canadian Prairies, drier conditions in the Midwest, and rain for Brazilian corn are the weather factors driving the markets Tuesday.

LIMITED RAINFALL FOR MIDWEST

Outside of some spots near the eastern Ohio River and Minnesota, it was dry and warm in the Midwest over the long holiday weekend. Temperatures continue to be above normal all week long while chances for showers are fairly limited. Showers will be around throughout the week though and will help to stave off dryness where they hit. Areas that do not get hit could see drought developing or increasing this week. There is some concern over young plants, but drought is not deep or forecast to spread to too many areas just yet.

RAINS CONTINUE FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS

Showers and thunderstorms were numerous in the Central and Southern Plains over the holiday weekend, especially across the west. That did cause some flooding issues in spots but continued to ease drought concerns. However, eastern areas were drier, and above normal temperatures are a concern for soil moisture going forward. The region will continue to see showers and thunderstorms developing in clusters going into next week, though still focused more on western areas than in the east. If eastern areas continue to miss out, then drought may worsen there.

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Widespread showers occurred in the Northern Plains over the weekend and continue throughout this week as well. While there may be some delay to the final planting progress, especially in parts of North Dakota, showers should continue to ease remaining dry spots while hitting most areas with good rainfall throughout the week.

LIMITED RAINFALL FOR THE DELTA

It was dry in the Delta over the long holiday weekend and soil moisture has been dropping, though is still in relatively good shape across most of the region. Showers will continue to be limited throughout the week and may start to be a concern if the drier pattern continues deeper into June.

AREAS OF RAIN FOR CANADIAN PRAIRIES

Scattered showers developed in the Canadian Prairies over the weekend but have been very sporadic on where they have been hitting. Coverage of showers will be different each day this week but will be around the region at least through this weekend if not well into next week as well. Temperatures remain above normal, but not extremely so.

BRAZIL CORN WITH SOME RAIN NEXT COUPLE DAYS

A front moved into southern Brazil over the long holiday weekend and will spread some showers into south-central safrinha corn areas through Wednesday before showers largely dry up again. The showers should benefit some of the corn and wheat crops, though rains are fairly rare this time of year anyway with another week of dryness on tap after the showers dry up this week.

MORE SHOWERS COMING FOR ARGENTINA

Scattered showers moved north out of Argentina over the weekend, but fell in some important areas last week, favoring wheat establishment. More showers are expected to come in waves Friday into next week, increasing soil moisture in the country's primary growing areas.

SHOWERS CONTINUE AROUND THE MEDITERRANEAN

Showers continue near the Mediterranean for the next week. Showers have been the most consistent near Spain, which has seen some favorable showers over the last couple of weeks but is still in deep drought. Other areas have had some favorable dryness to allow for soil drainage and accelerated crop development. Areas to the north could use some more showers now though, which are forecast to return next week.

MOSTLY FAVORABLE WEATHER FOR THE BLACK SEA

An upper-low over the Black Sea and a couple of fronts in the region will continue to provide scattered showers for the next week. Eastern Ukraine has had the most favorable rainfall but much of the region has good soil moisture at the moment.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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