Commodities Market Impact Weather

Quiet Day in Active Pattern Monday

John Baranick
By  John Baranick , DTN Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- An active pattern through the U.S. and drier conditions coming to Argentina are the weather factors holding the market's attention Monday.

MORE DELAYS COMING TO EASTERN MIDWEST

After showers left the Midwest with a deep system Friday into Saturday, a clipper system moved through with more showers over the weekend. Precipitation was mostly light but included accumulating snow over the north and also over Indiana into Ohio. An active pattern will continue this week with a front coming through on Wednesday and Thursday with scattered showers over eastern areas and another storm system moving through this coming weekend with scattered shower potential. Any showers will delay the remaining harvest and fieldwork yet to be done.

SOUTHWESTERN PLAINS REMAIN UNFAVORABLY DRY

Scattered showers moved through Nebraska on Saturday, but most areas stayed dry over the weekend. That should have helped the remaining harvest, but the dryness continues to be a concern for winter wheat, especially in the west. A couple of fronts will move through over the next week but each of them has low chances for precipitation.

DRY ROLLER COASTER IN NORTHERN PLAINS

A system moved through the Northern Plains with mixed precipitation over the weekend and continued poor conditions for the remaining harvest. Up-and-down temperatures continue through the week, but precipitation chances look low through the weekend.

BRIEF SHOWERS COMING TO THE DELTA

A few showers moved through the Delta late Friday, but most areas were dry this weekend, favoring remaining harvest and fall fieldwork. A front will move through with some showers Wednesday night and Thursday with another possible this weekend, helping winter wheat establishment.

SOUTHEAST SEEING GOOD HARVEST WEATHER

Dry weather occurred over the Southeast this weekend, favoring harvest. A front will move through Thursday but is likely to be dry.

TWO ROUNDS OF SHOWERS THIS WEEK IN PACIFIC NORTHWEST

Some showers moved through the Pacific Northwest over the weekend, but mostly fell in the mountains while the valleys stayed rather dry. Two systems will move through this week, again with impacts mostly for the mountains with lighter showers in the valleys. Winter wheat continues to deal with drought before going dormant.

DRYNESS CONCERNS FOR BLACK SEA

Dry weather occurred over the Black Sea region this weekend. A system is moving through on Monday but is mostly dry. Another system will move through with a better chance for scattered showers Friday through the weekend, but amounts are forecast to be light. Time is getting very short for showers to have an impact before dormancy, which typically arrives later this month.

SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR BRAZIL

Scattered showers continued over central Brazil, but it was dry again over southern areas this weekend. The dryness would be concerning but showers are expected to move through with a slow-moving front Tuesday through Thursday that should bring helpful rainfall. Dryness after this front comes through should last through next weekend, however, and dryness is starting to take over southern states, typical of La Nina. Central areas continue to see daily showers that will benefit corn and soybean development.

DRIER PATTERN COMING TO ARGENTINA

Widespread showers moved through Argentina over the weekend with moderate to locally heavy amounts, benefiting corn and soybeans. Another front will move through Monday and Tuesday, looking to do the same. Dryness will follow behind it for about a week.

WET SOILS IN EASTERN AUSTRALIA

Some showers fell across southeastern Australia over the weekend, but most areas were dry, helping soils drain from the deluges that occurred last week. It will likely take some time for harvest to increase for wheat and canola but there should be some good conditions for most of the week. Another system moving through late this week and weekend will benefit summer crops while causing further delays for harvest.

**

Get a full rundown on the 2022 outlook for weather affecting U.S. and international crop areas during the DTN Ag Summit, Dec. 5-7, in Chicago. Visit www.dtn.com/agsummit for more details about the summit and to register. Register before Nov. 26 for the early bird rate.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

John Baranick