USDA Weekly Crop Progress Report

This article was originally published at 3:05 p.m. CDT on Monday, July 28. It was last updated with additional information at 3:51 p.m. CDT on Monday, July 28.

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OMAHA (DTN) -- The U.S. corn crop's good-to-excellent condition rating fell slightly last week while soybeans' good-to-excellent rating increased by 2 points, according to USDA NASS's weekly Crop Progress report released on Monday.

A slow-moving front will being widespread showers and thunderstorms across the country this week, with potential hurricane-force winds Monday evening from South Dakota into northern Iowa that could be labeled as a derecho and damage crops, followed by cooler temperatures, according to DTN Ag Meteorologist John Baranick.

CORN

-- Crop development: Corn silking was pegged at 76%, 1 percentage point ahead of last year's 75% and 1 percentage point below the five-year average of 77%. Corn in the dough stage was estimated at 26%, 2 points behind last year's 28% but 2 points ahead of the five-year average of 24%.

-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 73% of the crop was in good-to-excellent condition, 1 point below the previous week's 74% and 5 points ahead of last year's 68%. Seven percent of the crop was rated very poor to poor, up 1 point from the previous week and still below 9% last year. "Pennsylvania and Iowa are the garden spots at 89% and 87% good to excellent, respectively," noted DTN Senior Analyst Dana Mantini.

SOYBEANS

-- Crop development: Soybeans blooming were pegged at 76%, 1 point ahead last year's 75% and equal to the five-year average. Soybeans setting pods were estimated at 41%, 1 point behind both last year and the five-year average of 42%.

-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 70% of soybeans were in good-to-excellent condition, up 2 percentage points from 68% the previous week and ahead 3 percentage points to last year's 67%. Six percent of soybeans were rated very poor to poor, down 1 percentage point from 7% the previous week and 2 percentage points below last year's 8%. "Iowa is highly rated at 82% good to excellent while Louisiana leads the pack at 89%," Mantini said.

WINTER WHEAT

-- Harvest progress: Harvest moved ahead another 7 percentage points last week to reach 80% complete nationwide as of Sunday. That was 1 point behind both last year and the five-year average pace of 81%. Kansas' winter wheat is 99% harvested, and Illinois is 99% finished. Harvest in Montana was 15% complete, with Idaho and Washington 19% and 35% complete, respectively.

SPRING WHEAT

-- Crop development: 92% of spring wheat was headed, 1 point behind to last year's pace of 93% and just 3 points behind the five-year average of 95%.

-- Harvest progress: In its first spring wheat harvest report of the season, NASS estimated that just 1% of the crop was harvested as of Sunday, equal to last year's pace and 2 points behind the five-year average of 3%. Most of the harvesting took place in South Dakota and Washington.

-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 49% of the crop was in good-to-excellent condition nationwide, down 3 percentage points from 52% the previous week and 25 points below last year's 74% good-to-excellent rating. North Dakota was rated 64% good to excellent and South Dakota 56% good to excellent. Montana's spring wheat was rated just 6% good to excellent. "Minnesota is the bright spot with 90% of the crop rated good to excellent," Mantini said.

THE WEEK AHEAD IN WEATHER

A slow-moving front will being widespread showers and thunderstorms across the country this week, potentially including severe storms with damaging winds from South Dakota into northern Iowa Monday evening, followed by cooler temperatures, according to DTN Ag Meteorologist John Baranick.

"Hot and humid conditions over the last week would normally be damaging to crop development during this time of year, but good soil moisture and continued rainfall have softened the potential damage," Baranick said. "It remains hot to start this week as well, with fewer showers and thunderstorms breaking the heat.

"However, a front will be moving through the entire country this week. It may take until the weekend to get down all the way to the Gulf of Mexico (Gulf of America), but it will be bringing widespread showers and thunderstorms. Some of those showers will produce heavy rain, and a special severe threat is forecast on Monday evening from South Dakota into northern Iowa. Widespread severe winds are the main threat, which could be labeled as a derecho should the criteria of severe winds for at least 240 miles with several hurricane-force wind gusts of more than 74 mph are embedded in there. Whether or not it meets criteria, significant crop damage may occur at a most inopportune time when the crop is looking rather good in this area. Severe storms could be possible as the front continues southward, but not to the same degree as the threat on Monday. A significant drop in temperature and humidity will follow behind the front through the weekend, easing any stress from the areas that miss out on this week's rainfall.

"Another system will move into the Northern Plains on Friday or Saturday, producing more scattered showers and thunderstorms that will likely move through the Corn Belt next week."

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To view weekly crop progress reports issued by National Ag Statistics Service offices in individual states, visit http://www.nass.usda.gov/…. Look for the U.S. map in the "Find Data and Reports by" section and choose the state you wish to view in the drop-down menu. Then look for that state's "Crop Progress & Condition" report.

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Editor's Note: How are your crops looking? Are they better, worse or right on track with USDA NASS' observations this week? Send us your comments, and we'll include them in next week's Crop Progress report story. You can email comments to talk@dtn.com. Please include the location of where you farm.

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National Crop Progress Summary
	This	Last	Last	5-Year
	Week	Week	Year	Avg.
Corn Silking	76	56	75	77
Corn Dough	26	14	28	24
Soybeans Blooming	76	62	75	76
Soybeans Setting Pods	41	26	42	42
Winter Wheat Harvested	80	73	81	81
Spring Wheat Headed	92	87	93	95
Spring Wheat Harvested	1	NA	1	3
Cotton Squaring	80	71	86	83
Cotton Setting Bolls	44	33	52	46
Sorghum Headed	39	28	45	43
Sorghum Coloring	21	17	22	21
Oats Harvested	29	20	33	32
Barley Headed	80	76	88	94
Barley Harvested	1	NA	2	3
Rice Headed	63	46	69	53
Peanuts Pegging	87	80	85	85

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National Crop Condition Summary
(VP=Very Poor; P=Poor; F=Fair; G=Good; E=Excellent)
	This Week						Last Week						Last Year
	VP	P	F	G	E		VP	P	F	G	E		VP	P	F	G	E
Corn	2	5	20	53	20		1	5	20	56	18		3	6	23	52	16
Soybeans	1	5	25	54	13		2	5	25	54	14		2	6	25	54	13
Spring Wheat	4	14	33	44	5		3	13	32	47	5		NA	4	22	63	11
Rice	NA	3	20	57	20		1	2	18	58	21		1	2	14	65	18
Oats	7	10	25	48	10		8	10	24	49	9		6	5	23	54	12
Barley	1	14	43	39	3		2	14	39	42	3		NA	5	26	62	7
Cotton	7	7	31	44	11		6	7	30	48	9		9	13	29	40	9
Peanuts	1	4	27	57	11		NA	4	27	59	10		1	5	26	59	9
Sorghum	3	5	26	49	17		1	4	27	53	15		4	9	32	45	10

EllaMae Reiff can be reached at ellamae.reiff@dtn.com

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