Commodities Market Impact Weather

Favorable Crop-Fill Pattern

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , Ag Meteorologist Emeritus
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Favorable conditions for filling row crops and the potential for useful moisture in winter wheat areas ahead of seeding are the primary weather features for the commodity market's attention Wednesday.

SEASONAL ROW-CROP FILLING PATTERN

The DTN Ag Weather forecast calls for seasonal temperatures and light showers across the Midwest over the balance of this week. This combination is favorable for filling row crops following showers and thunderstorms earlier in the week, including rain in drier areas of the western Midwest.

SOUTHERN PLAINS RAIN POTENTIAL

Southern Plains crop areas have the potential for moderate to heavy rain during the next seven days. Forecast coverage includes driest western sectors of the region. This feature will be closely tracked for the prospect of improved soil moisture ahead of seeding the next winter wheat crop.

LIGHT NORTHERN PLAINS SHOWERS

Light showers are indicated over the Northern Plains during the next seven days. Some delay to wheat harvest may occur, but extensive disruption is not expected.

DELTA THUNDERSTORMS

In the Delta, showers and thunderstorms are forecast over the next week with moderate to heavy rain totals. The rain will mainly benefit crops, notably filling corn and soybeans.

EXTREME NORTHWEST HEAT

Extreme heat and dryness are in store across the Northwest over the next week. This pattern will favor wheat harvest but will be stressful to other crops along with pastures, hay and livestock water supplies.

VARIABLE PRAIRIES MOISTURE

Scattered light to moderate showers will cover the Canadian Prairies over the next few days. Conditions will be generally favorable for wheat and canola crops along with pastures and hay.

SOUTHERN BRAZIL SHOWERS

In Brazil, showers with moderate to heavy rain totals in southern crop areas have been beneficial for crop moisture. Additional rain is forecast over the next week in Rio Grande do Sul, Parana and Mato Grosso do Sul.

LIGHT ARGENTINA MOISTURE

Argentina crop areas will have light precipitation during the next week. The previous week saw useful shower and thunderstorm activity with improved soil moisture for winter wheat.

EUROPE EXTREME HEAT

Extreme heat and dryness continue to exhaust most crop areas of Europe. In addition to crop moisture loss, drought has sapped river levels in the Rhine, Danube and Po systems. This low water level is unfavorable for transportation. Precipitation outlooks indicate only light showers over the next week.

VARIABLE BLACK SEA CONDITIONS

In the Black Sea region, Ukraine crop areas have seasonal temperatures with periods of showers for useful crop moisture in the forecast. In contrast, Russia will be drier, with favorable wheat harvest conditions but some concern for row crop moisture.

FAVORABLE AUSTRALIA CONDITIONS

Australia growing regions have a favorable pattern for developing wheat. Periods of showers will cross the continent over the next week with most rain in southeast Australia.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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