Commodities Market Impact Weather

Windy and Wet Conditions Incoming

John Baranick
By  John Baranick , DTN Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Weather-induced planting delays in the U.S. and dryness across central Brazil are the weather factors holding the market's attention Tuesday.

MULTIPLE STORM SYSTEMS BRINGING PRECIPITATION TO MIDWEST

A mix of rain and snow continues over the eastern Midwest on Tuesday before pulling away. Several storm systems will move through the region over the next 10 days, bringing scattered showers through the region. That will make it difficult for fieldwork and planting.

LIMITED SHOWERS FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS WHEAT

Several systems will move through the Southern Plains over the next week. Chances for precipitation in western areas are low, but not zero. Northern and eastern areas should see rounds of showers, however. Systems will also bring windy conditions that would be unfavorable in drier soils. Drought continues to have negative impacts on much of the region.

COLD AND WET IN PACIFIC NORTHWEST

Below normal temperatures continue across the Pacific Northwest through the week as well as some periods of showers. The moisture continues to favor increases for wheat already in the ground, while damp and cold conditions will make planting spring wheat more difficult.

ANOTHER BLIZZARD POSSIBLE FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Heavy snow cover in the Northern Plains will take a long time to melt away. That will keep temperatures colder for most of the region even without the snowpack. A storm system moving through Wednesday may bring some isolated showers through the region; but a system moving through this weekend may produce more heavy snow and blizzard conditions for western areas.

DELTA GETTING SOME DRIER WINDOWS

A couple of systems will move through the Delta over the next 10 days, but much of the precipitation looks to fall north into the Midwest. While showers will make it difficult to plant at times, that will be surrounded by drier stretches that should make for some better planting windows.

CENTRAL BRAZIL CORN SUFFERING AS DRY SEASON BEGINS

Central Brazil has entered the dry season about two weeks early and declining soil moisture well ahead of the start has developing to pollinating corn in a difficult situation. Southern areas have seen better precipitation in April and more showers are expected to move through late this week and again next week, favoring developing to pollinating corn.

SHOWERS MOVING BACK INTO ARGENTINA

Recent dryness in Argentina has been unfavorable for the remaining filling corn and soybeans, as well as limiting soil moisture for planting wheat. Scattered showers are expected in the middle of the week and more are expected over the weekend into next week. Showers at this point in the season will have limited positive effects for corn and soybeans while hampering the ongoing harvest. Wheat areas would like to see more showers before planting, however.

PERIODS OF SHOWERS FOR BLACK SEA

An upper-level system moved back into the Black Sea region over the weekend, bringing scattered showers. The system will remain in the region through the week, increasing soil moisture for wheat, but making it difficult to plant corn.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

John Baranick