DTN Ag Weather Brief

NATIONAL TEMPERATURE/RAINFALL EXTREMES:

HIGH THU...90 AT ZAPATA TX

LOW THU...15 BELOW ZERO AT SACO MT AND WOLF POINT MT

24 HOUR PRECIPITATION ENDING AT 6PM CT WEDNESDAY... DULUTH MN 0.82 INCHES

US OUTLOOK AND MODEL DISCUSSION 6-10 DAY PERIOD:

There is a ridge in the East, a trough in the Rockies, and a couple of disturbances up near Alaska. The western trough will push east this weekend. A couple of disturbances will move through Canada early-to-mid next week and another trough will dig off the West Coast. The western trough will spread some energy eastward periodically through the end of the month.

The U.S. and European models are in fair agreement with the upper-level pattern, but develop each trough and disturbance a little differently. I will use a blend but favor the European.

For the outlook period, temperatures will settle into below normal in the Northwest and above normal in the Southeast next week. A system will move into the West in the middle of next week and then into the Plains and Midwest toward Christmas. Another will follow behind it into the West next weekend.

MAJOR WORLD HIGHLIGHTS/IMPACT:

NORTHERN PLAINS (LIVESTOCK): The region will be quieter over the next week but will still see some occasional snow showers moving through as weak systems pass through the region.

CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS (LIVESTOCK/WINTER WHEAT) A stalled front will remain over southeastern portions of the region through Saturday with scattered showers. Western areas continue to develop drought as there is no sign for any significant precipitation for the next couple of weeks at least.

MIDWEST (WINTER WHEAT): A front will produce more showers going through Saturday over southern and eastern areas. An active upper-air pattern will continue to produce a couple more systems going into next week as well, but with overall lighter precipitation.

PACIFIC NORTHWEST (WINTER WHEAT): An active upper-air pattern will produce periods of showers throughout the next 10 days, helping to increase moisture for dormant wheat.

BRAZIL (WINTER WHEAT/CORN/SOYBEANS): Moderate showers fell across southern areas earlier this week, but the region is going to stay dry for the next several days and chances for rain next week are low and isolated. The rainfall was briefly favorable for developing to reproductive corn and soybeans, but not enough. Central Brazil continues to see daily shower chances for the foreseeable future, benefiting developing to reproductive corn and soybeans.

ARGENTINA (WINTER WHEAT/CORN/SOYBEANS): Dryness is settling back in for most of the country's growing regions. Recent showers have benefited developing corn and soybeans in areas that were hit, which includes the higher production areas around Cordoba. Showers will develop this weekend over southern areas, but models are not optimistic about much of that spreading northward next week. Soil moisture may not be enough to stave off stress for early-planted corn and soybeans that are nearing or entering reproduction.

EUROPE (WINTER WHEAT): Drier weather set up for most areas this week, with sunshine favoring winter wheat development where soil moisture is beneficial across the south. There are still some drier spots in Spain that could use more moisture but are not forecast to receive any until next week.

AUSTRALIA (WINTER WHEAT/CANOLA/COTTON/SORGHUM): There may be some isolated showers for the next several days, but most areas should find favorable conditions for wheat and canola harvest. Sunshine should help cotton and sorghum development as soil moisture remains favorable.

EXPANDED SUMMARIES FORECASTS:

Midwest (corn, soybeans and winter wheat)

Summary:

West: Isolated showers north and south. Temperatures above normal.

East: Scattered showers south. Temperatures well above normal.

Forecast:

West: Isolated showers Friday. Mostly dry Saturday through Monday. Scattered showers north Tuesday. Temperatures above normal Friday, near to above normal Saturday through Tuesday.

East: Scattered showers through Saturday. Mostly dry Sunday and Monday. Scattered showers north Tuesday. Temperatures above normal Friday and Saturday, near to above normal Sunday through Tuesday.

6- to 10-day outlook: Mostly dry Wednesday. Scattered showers Thursday through Saturday. Mostly dry Sunday. Temperatures near to above normal Wednesday and Thursday, above normal Friday through Sunday.

Central and Southern Plains (winter wheat/corn/livestock)

Summary: Isolated showers southeast. Temperatures above normal.

Forecast: Isolated to scattered showers southeast through Saturday. Mostly dry Sunday through Tuesday. Temperatures above normal Friday, near to below normal Saturday and Sunday, near to above normal Monday and Tuesday.

6- to 10-day outlook: Mostly dry Wednesday-Sunday. Temperatures above normal Wednesday through Sunday.

Brazil Soybeans and Corn...

Rio Grande do Sul and Parana...

Summary: Isolated showers north. Temperatures near to above normal.

Forecast: Mostly dry through Monday. Isolated showers Tuesday. Temperatures near to above normal through Tuesday.

Mato Grosso, MGDS and southern Goias...

Summary: Scattered showers. Temperatures near normal.

Forecast: Scattered showers through Tuesday. Temperatures near normal through Tuesday.

Argentina Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat...

Cordoba, Santa Fe, Northern Buenos Aires...

Summary: Mostly dry. Temperatures near normal.

Forecast: Mostly dry through Saturday. Isolated showers Sunday through Tuesday. Temperatures near to above normal through Monday, near to below normal Tuesday.

La Pampa, Southern Buenos Aires...

Summary: Mostly dry. Temperatures near normal.

Forecast: Mostly dry Friday. Isolated showers Saturday through Tuesday. Temperatures near to above normal through Monday near to below normal Tuesday.

(c) Copyright 2021 DTN, LLC. All rights reserved.