DTN Ag Weather Brief

NATIONAL TEMPERATURE/RAINFALL EXTREMES:

HIGH WED...92 AT RIO GRANDE VILLAGE TX

LOW WED...13 BELOW ZERO AT BANNER SUMMIT ID AND MACKAY ID

24 HOUR PRECIPITATION ENDING AT 6PM CT WEDNESDAY... FLAGSTAFF AZ 0.64 INCHES

US OUTLOOK AND MODEL DISCUSSION 6-10 DAY PERIOD:

There is a strong ridge in the East, a compact trough moving into Canada, and another trough in the West. The western trough will push east this weekend. An active pattern continues with a couple of disturbances moving through Canada early next week. A more persistent trough should develop over the West next week but will spread some energy eastward periodically through the end of the month.

The U.S. and European models are in fair agreement with the upper-level pattern, but develop each trough and disturbance a little differently. I will use a blend but favor the European.

For the outlook period, temperatures will settle into below normal in the Northwest and above normal in the Southeast by the end of next week. A system will skirt the Gulf Coast early next week. Another storm system will move into the West in the middle of next week and then into the Plains and Midwest toward Christmas.

MAJOR WORLD HIGHLIGHTS/IMPACT:

NORTHERN PLAINS (LIVESTOCK): Strong winds and some snow developed on Wednesday. The region goes quieter but will still see some occasional snow showers moving through as weak systems pass through the region going into next week.

CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS (LIVESTOCK/WINTER WHEAT) A system brought incredibly strong winds and severe thunderstorms through the region on Wednesday but missed the southwestern Plains with precipitation as drought continues to grow. The front to Wednesday's system will remain over southeastern portions of the region through Saturday, and there should be some showers that develop along it. Western areas are thirsty for rain, but there is no significant chance that this region sees any meaningful precipitation from the lingering front. Dryness is likely to continue building drought in the region instead.

MIDWEST (WINTER WHEAT): A system brought strong winds and severe storms on Wednesday. Winds continue to be strong for northern areas on Thursday. The front to the system did not clear the region and another system will develop more showers Friday into Saturday. An active upper-air pattern will continue to produce a couple more systems going into next week as well.

PACIFIC NORTHWEST (WINTER WHEAT): An active upper-air pattern will produce periods of showers throughout the next 10 days, helping to increase moisture for dormant wheat.

BRAZIL (WINTER WHEAT/CORN/SOYBEANS): Moderate showers fell across southern areas earlier this week, but the region is going dry again, lasting for about a week. The rainfall was briefly favorable for developing to reproductive corn and soybeans, but not enough. Central Brazil continues to see daily shower chances for the foreseeable future, benefiting developing to reproductive corn and soybeans.

ARGENTINA (WINTER WHEAT/CORN/SOYBEANS): Isolated to scattered showers developed earlier this week but dryness is settling back in for most of the country's growing regions. The showers have benefited developing corn and soybeans in areas that were hit, which includes the higher production areas around Cordoba. Showers may start to redevelop this coming weekend over southern areas, but that is not guaranteed to spread northward next week, and dryness is more likely. Soil moisture may not be enough to stave off stress for developing corn and soybeans.

EUROPE (WINTER WHEAT): Drier weather has set up for most areas this week, with sunshine favoring winter wheat development where soil moisture is beneficial across the south. There are still some drier spots in Spain that could use more moisture but are not forecast to receive any until next week.

AUSTRALIA (WINTER WHEAT/CANOLA/COTTON/SORGHUM): There may be some isolated showers for the next several days, but most areas should find favorable conditions for wheat and canola harvest. Sunshine should help cotton and sorghum development as soil moisture remains favorable.

EXPANDED SUMMARIES FORECASTS:

Midwest (corn, soybeans and winter wheat)

Summary:

West: Scattered showers, strong winds. Temperatures well above normal.

East: Scattered showers, strong winds. Temperatures well above normal.

Forecast:

West: Mostly dry Thursday. Isolated showers Friday. Mostly dry Saturday through Monday. Temperatures above normal Thursday and Friday, near to above normal Saturday through Monday.

East: Scattered showers through Saturday. Mostly dry Sunday through Monday. Temperatures well above normal Thursday, above normal Friday and Saturday, near to above normal Sunday and Monday.

6- to 10-day outlook: Isolated showers Tuesday and Wednesday. Scattered showers Thursday through Saturday. Temperatures near to below normal Tuesday through Thursday, near to above normal Friday and Saturday.

Central and Southern Plains (winter wheat/corn/livestock)

Summary: Isolated to scattered showers with strong winds. Temperatures well above normal.

Forecast: Isolated to scattered showers southeast through Saturday. Mostly dry Sunday and Monday. Temperatures above normal Thursday and Friday, near to below normal Saturday and Sunday, near to above normal Monday.

6- to 10-day outlook: Mostly dry Tuesday through Thursday. Isolated showers Friday and Saturday. Temperatures near to above normal Tuesday through Saturday.

Brazil Soybeans and Corn...

Rio Grande do Sul and Parana...

Summary: Isolated showers. Temperatures near to above normal.

Forecast: Mostly dry through Monday. Temperatures near to above normal through Monday.

Mato Grosso, MGDS and southern Goias...

Summary: Scattered showers. Temperatures near normal.

Forecast: Scattered showers through Monday. Temperatures near normal through Monday.

Argentina Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat...

Cordoba, Santa Fe, Northern Buenos Aires...

Summary: Mostly dry. Temperatures near to below normal.

Forecast: Mostly dry through Saturday. Isolated showers Sunday and Monday. Temperatures near to below normal Thursday, near to above normal Friday through Monday.

La Pampa, Southern Buenos Aires...

Summary: Mostly dry. Temperatures near to below normal.

Forecast: Mostly dry through Friday. Isolated showers Saturday through Monday. Temperatures near to below normal Thursday, near to above normal Friday through Monday.

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