Commodities Market Impact Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Widespread rainfall across the United States and South America are the weather factors holding the market's attention Monday.

SCATTERED SHOWERS IN MIDWEST

Scattered showers moved through the Midwest on Friday and a system brought showers to portions of Minnesota and Wisconsin during the weekend. Another system in the Southern Plains will move through the region with scattered showers and potential for severe weather on Monday into Tuesday and another strong system will bring more rain to western areas Wednesday and Thursday. The front to the system will finally bring scattered showers to the rest of the region on Friday before some drier weather is expected. The heavy rainfall potential in the west will delay harvest progress.

ANOTHER STORM FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

Scattered showers developed in the Southern Plains on Sunday along with some severe storms. Another system will start to affect the region on Tuesday and more severe weather will be possible as a cold front moves across the region. The front will get stuck across eastern areas for a bit before getting pushed eastward on Friday. Moderate to heavy rain and severe weather will hinder harvest progress while the rainfall would be good for winter wheat outside of any potential flooding.

RAIN AND COOLNESS FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Scattered showers moved through the Northern Plains during the weekend with pockets of moderate to heavy rainfall in some areas, especially in North Dakota. An even stronger system is expected to bring more widespread moderate to heavy rainfall across the Dakotas with snow expected in southern Montana and Wyoming and possibly the western Dakotas as well. Strong winds will also be a hazard with this system. Colder conditions will only stick around for a couple of days before higher temperatures come back into the region during the weekend.

A FEW DELTA SHOWERS

Dry conditions were noted over the Delta this weekend. A system in the Southern Plains will bring scattered showers across the region on Monday and another front will bring showers later in the week. Rain will delay harvest for cotton and soybeans but provide good moisture for winter wheat establishment.

SOUTHEAST STAYING DRY

Dry weather came back into the Southeast during the weekend, helping to dry soils and crops that became waterlogged last week. Dry weather is expected through the week with some showers being possible this weekend.

WESTERN BLACK SEA SHOWERS

Dry and cool conditions continued across the Black Sea region through the weekend. This favors fall harvest but is stressing drier sections of both Ukraine and western Russia for winter grain establishment. A system in the Mediterranean moves through Ukraine Tuesday and Wednesday, but western Russia does not have a good chance for showers here and time is running out before lower temperatures settle in for the year and wheat goes dormant.

GOOD RAINFALL FOR BRAZIL

Scattered showers continued across Brazil during the weekend, heavy in some spots and overall good for full-season corn and soybean planting. Scattered showers will continue over central areas while a couple of fronts will move into southern areas, all with good rainfall activity. Some drier weather would actually be favorable for maturing and harvest of winter wheat.

ONLY SCATTERED SHOWERS IN ARGENTINA

Some isolated showers moved through Argentina during the weekend, but there remains some rather dry spots in portions of the country that could use more moisture for corn and soybean planting. Winter wheat areas are still doing alright but with soil moisture drying up, more moisture is needed overall across the country. A system will quickly move through the country in the middle of the week with scattered showers while another follows late in the week with isolated showers. The rainfall is unlikely to be enough and more will be needed. But drier weather looks to take hold during the weekend and continue into next week.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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