Commodities Market Impact Weather

OMAHA (DTN) -- Variable rain in the Midwest forecast and continued drier conditions in central Brazil's outlook are the primary weather features for the commodity market's attention Tuesday.

MIXED MIDWEST RAIN FORECAST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for a mixed rainfall pattern across the Midwest. Eastern Midwest areas are in line for periods of showers later this week. A drier stretch follows which will offer field drying and fieldwork progress. Scattered showers return in the seven- to 10-day time frame.

DRIER SOUTHERN PLAINS TREND

The southern has notably improved conditions for winter wheat and row crop moisture following recent rain. However, a drier pattern ahead will cause some depletion of this moisture.

MINIMAL NORTHERN PLAINS PRECIPITATION

In the Northern Plains, drought continues to intensify in all but the southeastern portion of the region. Dryness and drought will continue to build through the week. A system will move across the region Sunday into Monday, but with limited shower chances.

DELTA MIDWEEK SHOWERS

The Delta has mainly saturated soils. A new occurrence of light to moderate rain is indicated in the short-term forecast, which will cause some disruption in fieldwork and planting. A few days of drier conditions are in store following this rain event.

MAINLY DRY IN CENTRAL BRAZIL

Central Brazil continues with a mainly dry forecast. Second-crop (safrinha) corn in the central and north is in need of soil moisture. This lack of moisture will cause concern as we get closer to the start of the dry season. Showers may resume later this week and weekend, but models suggest that overall dryness could last through April, with possible yield reduction for the second crop.

DRIER ARGENTINA FORECAST

Central Argentina will be mainly dry through the week. Showers will focus in the west and south. A system next week may bring more widespread showers.

FAVORABLE RUSSIA PATTERN

Scattered showers fell across most Russia and Ukraine areas this weekend but temperatures remained on the lower side of normal as crops slowly awaken from dormancy in generally favorable conditions, in stark contrast to a dry autumn. A typical spring pattern of rising and falling temperatures and occasional periods of showers are expected during the next week, maintaining overall favorable conditions.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

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