Commodities Market Impact Weather

OMAHA (DTN) -- Seasonally warm conditions in the Midwest, and tropical energy monitoring on the U.S. Gulf Coast, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Tuesday.

SEASONAL MIDWEST WARMTH

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for a seasonally warm pattern over the Midwest during the next week to ten days. This pattern will be favorable to crops; however, sustained heat and dryness may be stressful to crops that have less-than-adequate root systems. This pattern is still capable of bringing locally heavy rain and flooding to western areas.

GULF TROPICAL MONITORING

Tropical cyclone formation is possible by the end of the week along the northern Gulf of Mexico. This system will bear close monitoring for potentially heavy rainfall along the Gulf Coast, and possibly into the Delta.

SOUTHERN PLAINS THUNDERSTORMS

In the Southern Plains, thunderstorms Monday brought unfavorable harvest-delaying rain. Drier and warmer conditions the rest of this week will be more favorable for harvest. Rainfall maintains adequate-to-surplus soil moisture for summer crops and is mostly favorable.

BENEFICIAL NORTHERN PLAINS PATTERN

Northern Plains' conditions are again beneficial for crops. Moderate-to-heavy rain will be mainly beneficial as well, except in areas of local flooding. Temperatures will trend higher, allowing growing degree day accumulation.

MIXED PRAIRIES RAINFALL

In the Canadian Prairies, variable temperatures are forecast through the next 10 days. Rainfall chances are highest in the east, with a drier trend in the west. Crop progress remains mostly behind average. This will be a season-long concern.

FRANCE TO REMAIN HIGH

Crop areas in France were notably affected by the recent very hot and dry pattern that dominated Europe weather. The next 10 days feature mainly above normal temperatures and below normal rainfall. Heat and dryness-related stress are likely in summer crops.

SHOWERS FOR RUSSIA

In the Black Sea region, Russia and Ukraine have light-to-moderate rain indicated through the five-day forecast period. These showers will be accompanied by cooler weather. Crops will benefit from this combination.

LIGHT INDIA MONSOON RAIN

India's primary crop areas have light-to-moderate monsoon rains forecast through the end of the week. The monsoon has been an inconsistent feature this season.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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