Commodities Market Impact Weather

OMAHA (DTN) -- Heavy rain for the Midwest, and a chance for snow in northern crop areas, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Thursday.

WET ACROSS MIDWEST

The DTN ag weather forecast again calls for the Midwest to have a wet pattern during the next week to 10 days. There is also some risk of very heavy rain to occur with this pattern, which leads to a renewed flood threat. Wet weather and wet conditions will disrupt planting. Northern areas will be cold enough to bring on a chance of snow as part of the precipitation mix.

WET AND COLD FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

In the Northern Plains, increasing shower activity is likely during the next 10 days. It is also likely to turn much cooler to colder for a time, meaning that some precipitation will occur as snow. Cold and wet conditions mean additional delays to field work.

AMPLE SOUTHERN PLAINS MOISTURE

Across the Southern Plains, soil moisture is adequate to surplus following recent moderate to heavy rain. A drier trend is forecast through the weekend. Rain re-develops during next week.

DRIER DELTA FORECAST

Delta crop areas have moderate to heavy rain indicated through much of Thursday. The pattern turns drier through the weekend, which may bring some improvement in field work prospects.

DRY IN CANADIAN PRAIRIES

In the Canadian Prairies, a round of moderate precipitation is indicated in southwestern and south-central areas during the next five days. This moisture would be welcome due to soils being very dry over most of the region. The precipitation will accompanied by very cold temperatures for the season. Drier conditions are indicated during the six- to 10-day time frame.

THUNDERSTORMS TO CROSS BRAZIL

Southern Brazil has moderate-to-heavy rain expected during the next three days, causing some significant soybean harvest disruption. Rain should reach south-central Brazil during the weekend, bringing favorable moisture for the second-crop (safrinha) corn. Farther north, conditions are very warm to hot and drier, but crop stress is not indicated.

CENTRAL ARGENTINA RAIN

Central Argentina crop areas had some moderate to heavy rain during Wednesday. This likely means a few harvest delays. The area should turn drier during the remainder of the week, allowing for improving conditions.

BENEFICIAL BLACK SEA MOISTURE

Black Sea region crop-producing areas have mainly adequate to surplus soil moisture, favorable for developing winter grains. There is some dryness in southern Russia.

STILL DRY IN AUSTRALIA

Very little rain is forecast for either Western Australia wheat areas, or for the wheat areas of Queensland and New South Wales during the next five days.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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