DTN Market Impact Weather

Heavy Rains Delaying Harvest in Parts of Corn Belt

Elaine Shein
By  Elaine Shein , DTN/Progressive Farmer Associate Content Manager
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Heavy rains and flooding leading to significant harvest delays in some parts of the Corn Belt, beneficial soil moisture for Southern Plains winter wheat crop development, and favorable showers for central Brazil's main soybean crop areas, are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Monday.

HARVEST DELAYS FOR MIDWEST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for recent and forecasted moderate to heavy rains to delay and disrupt the harvest and will be highly unfavorable for maturing crops in the Midwest region. Quality may suffer, especially in areas of the central and west where it is very wet at this time.

ADEQUATE TO SURPLUS MOISTURE FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

Heavy rain and thunderstorms during the weekend and early this week in the Central and Southern Plains will provide for adequate and surplus soil moisture for winter wheat development. Local flooding is likely. Planting delays also likely. Rain delays and disrupts the harvest of summer crops.

COLD, UNSETTLED WEATHER IN NORTHERN PLAINS

Across the Northern Plains, cold, unsettled weather with rain and snow is unfavorable for maturing crops and harvesting. This unsettled weather pattern is expected to continue during the next two to three days, especially south and east areas, before weather improves.

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HURRICANE MICHAEL IMPACT EXPECTED ON SOUTHEAST U.S.

Hurricane Michael is expected to move across the Florida Panhandle and into southwest Georgia Tuesday night and Wednesday. Heavy to very heavy rains leading to severe flooding and strong, damaging winds will affect cotton and peanut areas, and other unharvested crops. Winds will diminish, but the heavy rain will also carry through the Carolinas and into Virginia. These are also cotton and peanut areas.

MIDWEEK DELTA RAIN

The Delta will have mostly favorable conditions for seasonal fieldwork at this time. Rain may move through midweek and cause delays.

DRIER IN PRAIRIES

The Canadian Prairies will see a drier weather pattern with slowly moderating temperatures that will help to improve conditions for the delayed harvest. However, improvement might be slow in some locations.

MOSTLY FAVORABLE BRAZIL CONDITIONS

Central Brazil has episodes of scattered thundershowers and warm weather that will favor planting and early development of soybeans in Mato Grosso, Mato Grosso do Sul and Parana. Planting of full season corn may have slowed due to recent rains in southern Brazil. Mostly favorable conditions are seen for early planted soybeans and corn in southern Brazil at this time, despite the planting delays.

AUSTRALIA SHOWERS

Episodes of showers have recently improved conditions for reproductive to filling wheat in Western Australia. Rain has moved into New South Wales this past week. This favors reproductive to filling wheat in the south part of the state, but it is likely too late to help the drought-reduced crop in the north or wheat in south Queensland. Showers in northern New South Wales and south Queensland may help improve conditions for planting sorghum and cotton.

TROPICAL STORMS UPDATE

At 4 a.m. (CDT), Hurricane Michael, with 70-mph winds, was located 90 miles east of Cozumel, Mexico. Michael is moving toward the north near 7 mph. A northward motion at a slightly faster forward speed is expected through Tuesday night, followed by a northeastward motion on Wednesday and Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of Michael will move northward across the Yucatan Channel later today, and then across the eastern Gulf of Mexico this evening through Wednesday. Michael is expected to move inland over the Florida Panhandle or Florida Big Bend area on Wednesday, and then move northeastward across the southeastern U.S. Wednesday night and Thursday.

At 2:00 a.m. (PDT), Hurricane Sergio, with 90-mph winds, was located 1,300 miles west-southwest of Baja in the Pacific. Sergio is moving toward the northwest near 5 mph (7 kilometers/hour). A turn to the northeast is expected tonight, and that motion with an increase in forward speed is expected on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Elaine Shein can be reached at elaine.shein@dtn.com

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Elaine Shein

Elaine Shein
Connect with Elaine: