DTN Market Impact Weather

OMAHA (DTN) -- Intense but brief heat in the Midwest and additional hot conditions in the Black Sea region are the key weather items for the commodity trade's attention Wednesday.

SHORT-TERM MIDWEST HEAT

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for a short-term round of heat over most Midwest crop areas. Stress will be greatest in Missouri, where precipitation has been well below normal during this season. Showers and thunderstorms are indicated to develop in west and north areas during the next few days, and then move into the eastern Midwest by early next week.

SOUTHERN PLAINS DRYNESS

In the Southern Plains, drier and hotter conditions this week will increase stress to developing summer crops while favoring the final wheat harvest effort. In western areas, beef cow herd liquidations are widely reported in Colorado due to ongoing drought and lack of pasture and water for livestock.

LIMITED WEST TEXAS SHOWERS

West Texas cotton areas have no significant chance for rainfall during the next seven days. Temperatures will generally be above normal, adding further to heat stress.

FAVORABLE NORTHERN PLAINS CONDITIONS

Northern Plains crops remain in mostly good to excellent condition, especially in North Dakota. South Dakota and Montana may have some crop stress in the next two days with hotter temperatures and drier conditions.

MIDWEEK PRAIRIES RAIN

After a hot Tuesday in the central and eastern Canadian Prairies, moderate to heavy thunderstorms formed overnight into Wednesday. Rain lingers in the eastern Prairies. Thursday will be drier, followed by another rain system Friday into the weekend. Rainfall should help to ease dryness concerns for canola and spring wheat.

MORE HEAT IN RUSSIA

Across the Black Sea region, South Russia was very hot again Tuesday. The region is likely to experience above-normal temperatures during the next seven days. However, there also appears to be some increased chances for scattered thunderstorms. If rainfall does develop, the biggest benefit would be to filling oilseed crops.

SCATTERED RAIN FOR NORTHEAST CHINA

Northeast China will have scattered thundershowers with variable temperatures during the next week. Conditions are mostly favorable for corn and soybeans, although stress increases somewhat during periods of hotter temperatures.

MIXED CENTRAL CHINA RAIN

Central China has seen scattered thunderstorms during the past couple of days, helping to ease stress to developing summer crops in areas that have been too dry and occasionally hot. Typhoon Maria is expected to bring flooding rains to rice areas of southeast China, but it appears the typhoon-source moisture may then focus on the western Yangtze River Valley along with the western and northern North China Plain. The remainder of the North China Plain has a drier and hotter pattern through the next week.

MOSTLY FAVORABLE INDIA MONSOON

India monsoon rain and thunderstorms moved through the central interior along with northern crop areas Tuesday. Thunderstorms linger in the north area for a few days and then drift southward again. This puts key growing areas of Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra in and out of heavy rain and maintains adequate crop moisture levels. Crop areas of Gujarat will be on the edge of these rains, with the best chance for heavier rain favoring east and south areas. Ganges Plain crop areas have seen below-normal precipitation totals, due to inconsistent thunderstorm development.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow Bryce Anderson on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

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