DTN Retail Fertilizer Trends

OMAHA (DTN) -- Average retail prices for half of the eight major fertilizers were higher than last month, while prices for the other half were lower during the first week of October 2025, according to sellers surveyed by DTN.

Of the four fertilizers with higher prices, two were up substantially, which DTN designates as anything 5% or more.

Anhydrous was 6% higher compared to last month with an average retail price of $813 per ton. Anhydrous was over the $800/ton level for the first time since the third week of December 2023. That week, the price was $807/ton.

DAP was 5% more expensive compared to last month with an average price of $906/ton during the first week of October.

Two other fertilizers had slightly higher prices. MAP had an average price of $921/ton and UAN28 $419/ton.

The remaining four fertilizers were slightly lower in price from last month. Potash had an average price of $483/ton, urea $609/ton, 10-34-0 $666/ton and UAN32 $465/ton.

On a price per pound of nitrogen basis, the average urea price was $0.66/lb.N, anhydrous $0.50/lb.N, UAN28 $0.75/lb.N and UAN32 $0.73/lb.N.

The European Union's (EU) carbon border tax could raise fertilizer import costs in 2026. According to a recent Rabobank report, the EU is set to introduce a carbon tax on 15 million metric tons (mmt) of nitrogen-containing imports into the EU, which will affect import costs.

The estimated price increase in 2026 will range from 10% to 20% for ammonia, 10% to 15% for urea, and 2% to 5% for DAP, depending on supplier emissions. These increases could rise to 50%, 45% and 10%, respectively, by 2030 as free allowance under EU's Emission Trading System (EU ETS) is phased out and carbon prices climb.

Rabobank reported that high-emission suppliers such as Trinidad and Tobago and China will face steep liabilities, reducing their competitiveness. Lower-emission producers like the U.S. are expected to gain market share.

"U.S. trade policy and EU tariffs on Russian fertilizers will further accelerate sourcing shifts," the report said.

All eight fertilizers are now higher in price compared to one year earlier.

The last holdout, potash, is now 7% higher. 10-34-0 is 13% more expensive, MAP is 15% higher, anhydrous is 18% more expensive, DAP is 23% higher, urea is 26% more expensive, UAN28 is 32% higher and UAN32 is 33% more expensive looking back to last year.

DTN gathers fertilizer price bids from agriculture retailers each week to compile the DTN Fertilizer Index. DTN first began reporting data in November 2008.

In addition to national averages, MyDTN subscribers can access the full DTN Fertilizer Index, which includes state averages, here: https://www.mydtn.com/….

DAP led fertilizer prices higher in the fourth week of September 2025. You can read about it here: https://www.dtnpf.com/….

DRY
Date Range	DAP	MAP	POTASH	UREA
Sep 30-Oct 4 2024	736	805	449	485
Oct 28-Nov 1 2024	739	810	446	497
Nov 25-29 2024	740	811	443	498
Dec 23-27 2024	739	810	444	489
Jan 20-24 2025	739	809	443	492
Feb 17-21 2025	762	809	444	543
Mar 17-21 2025	766	810	454	556
Apr 14-18 2025	781	822	467	577
May 12-16 2025	794	825	469	630
June 9-13 2025	805	832	474	656
July 7-11 2025	810	847	481	658
Aug 4-8 2025	822	892	484	646
Sep 1-5 2025	860	913	487	632
Sep 29-Oct 3 2025	906	921	483	609
LIQUID
Date Range	10-34-0	ANHYD	UAN28	UAN32
Sep 30-Oct 4 2024	590	687	317	350
Oct 28-Nov 1 2024	604	706	317	363
Nov 25-29 2024	611	718	323	364
Dec 23-27 2024	614	729	326	365
Jan 20-24 2025	616	737	326	367
Feb 17-21 2025	638	747	348	394
Mar 17-21 2025	649	761	356	412
Apr 14-18 2025	656	781	380	448
May 12-16 2025	666	777	412	484
June 9-13 2025	669	773	418	495
July 7-11 2025	672	769	417	501
Aug 4-8 2025	669	765	421	498
Sep 1-5 2025	667	767	415	481
Sep 29-Oct 3 2025	666	813	419	465

Russ Quinn can be reached at Russ.Quinn@dtn.com

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