DTN Retail Fertilizer Trends

OMAHA (DTN) -- Average retail prices for most fertilizers were higher than last month during the fourth week of February 2024, but for the sixth consecutive week, no fertilizer price was up or down by a substantial amount, according to sellers surveyed by DTN.

Prices for six of the eight major fertilizers were higher compared to a month earlier, marking the third week in a row most prices rose. The remaining two fertilizers were lower looking back a month. DTN designates a significant move as anything 5% or more.

Of the six fertilizers higher in price, DAP had an average price of $756 per ton, MAP $812/ton, urea $536/ton, 10-34-0 $615/ton, UAN28 $341/ton and UAN32 $394/ton.

The remaining two fertilizers, meanwhile, were just slightly lower in price compared to last month. Potash had an average price of $505/ton, while anhydrous was at $769/ton.

On a price per pound of nitrogen basis, the average urea price was at $0.58/lb.N, anhydrous $0.47/lb.N, UAN28 $0.61/lb.N and UAN32 $0.62/lb.N.

Construction of one fertilizer plant in North Dakota will move forward while a second project will not move forward, according to the North Dakota Monitor. The NextEra hydrogen-based fertilizer production plant east of Jamestown in Stutsman County will receive the full benefit of a $125 million state forgivable loan.

The North Dakota Industrial Commission in January approved a $50 million loan for NextEra Energy Resources Development and $75 million to Prairie Horizon Energy for a plant near Dickinson. Since Prairie Horizon has decided not to pursue the project, the full $125 million forgivable loan will now go to NextEra.

The Florida-based NextEra has built multiple wind energy projects in North Dakota and will use wind energy for its fertilizer production plant, making it a zero-carbon producer of fertilizer. The plant is projected to cost $1.3 billion.

Construction for the NextEra fertilizer plant is set to begin in 2025, finish construction in 2028 and be operational in 2028 or 2029. The project needs to be operational before the loan is forgiven.

All fertilizers except two are now lower by double digits compared to one year ago. MAP is 2% lower, DAP is 9% less expensive, both 10-34-0 and urea are 17% lower, UAN28 is 23% less expensive, potash is 24% lower, UAN32 is 25% less expensive and anhydrous is 29% lower compared to a year prior.

DTN gathers fertilizer price bids from agriculture retailers each week to compile the DTN Fertilizer Index. DTN first began reporting data in November 2008.

In addition to national averages, MyDTN subscribers can access the full DTN Fertilizer Index, which includes state averages, here: https://www.mydtn.com/….

A Kansas State University Extension specialist believes fertilizer prices are on a different trend in 2024 compared to 2023. You can read about it here: https://www.dtnpf.com/….

DRY
Date Range	DAP	MAP	POTASH	UREA
Feb 27-Mar 3 2023	827	827	666	648
Mar 27-31 2023	818	810	644	626
Apr 24-28 2023	827	804	624	595
May 22-26 2023	834	832	624	623
June 19-23 2023	825	827	618	619
July 17-21 2023	807	812	608	596
Aug 14-18 2023	745	762	558	573
Sep 11-15 2023	710	742	500	554
Oct 9-13 2023	711	794	506	575
Nov 6-10 2023	714	802	509	573
Dec 4-8 2023	713	820	516	543
Jan 1-5 2024	725	812	513	534
Jan 29-Feb 2 2024	735	809	509	527
Feb 26-Mar 1 2024	756	812	505	536
LIQUID
Date Range	10-34-0	ANHYD	UAN28	UAN32
Feb 27-Mar 3 2023	741	1077	444	525
Mar 27-31 2023	741	1026	428	513
Apr 24-28 2023	740	928	426	508
May 22-26 2023	739	798	419	509
June 19-23 2023	734	755	402	471
July 17-21 2023	717	713	385	457
Aug 14-18 2023	705	630	359	399
Sep 11-15 2023	600	696	353	389
Oct 9-13 2023	613	804	356	418
Nov 6-10 2023	613	830	360	415
Dec 4-8 2023	595	847	340	409
Jan 1-5 2024	599	789	336	394
Jan 29-Feb 2 2024	610	770	334	390
Feb 26-Mar 1 2024	615	769	341	394

Russ Quinn can be reached at Russ.Quinn@dtn.com

Follow him on X, formerly known as Twitter, @RussQuinnDTN

Russ Quinn can be reached at Russ.Quinn@dtn.com.

Follow him on X, formerly known as Twitter, @RussQuinnDTN.

(c) Copyright 2024 DTN, LLC. All rights reserved.