Top 5 Things to Watch

By DTN Staff

OMAHA (DTN) -- Here are the Top 5 things the DTN Newsroom is tracking for the week of Sept. 28. Watch for coverage of these and other topics throughout the week on our subscription platforms as well as on www.DTNPF.com.

Note that all report release and webinar times are Central Daylight Savings Time unless otherwise noted.

1. Government shutdown: As of this writing, a government shutdown seems imminent, which could delay farm payouts that USDA Ag Secretary Rollins discussed Sept. 25, as well as crippling other USDA and FSA functions in the heat of harvest.

2. About those payouts: Speaking of farm supports, the administration has promised relief for farmers who are seeing corn and soybeans prices tank due to the trade wars it has initiated. Funds are said to come from the tariff taxes being collected on imported goods, funds mostly paid in by importers and consumers. So, for farmers, who are also paying more for equipment and inputs due to tariff taxes on those goods, this round of government support is a bit like a farmer-exclusive tax rebate. We'll be watching how that plays out across the country.

3. Grain Stocks Report: One thing likely to slip in ahead of any government shutdown is the September Grain Stocks Small Grains Summary report, released at 11 a.m. Tuesday. We'll have full coverage, with updates throughout the morning. You can also join our Rhett's Reaction webinar, featuring analysis by DTN Lead Analyst Rhett Montgomery. Sign up for the webinar here: https://www.dtn.com/…

Note, make sure your registration link contains "events.zoom.us" phrasing. If it contains "Webex," that link is no longer valid as we have switched to the more robust Zoom webinar platform.

4. Drier weather on tap: The past few weeks of wet weather is beginning to take the brown out of the U.S. Drought Monitor map. This week will bring drier, better harvesting weather to much of the Corn Belt. But a tropical disturbance moving into the Bahamas is forecast to form into a named system, Imelda, over the weekend. Areas in the Southeast will need to closely watch the development of this system which could bring some wind damage and significant rainfall and flooding early in the week.

5. Reports due this week: Monday at 9 a.m. Pending Home Sales and Multivariate Core Trend Inflation will be released. At 10 a.m. we'll see latest Grain Inspections. At 2 p.m. Egg Products and at 3 p.m. Crop Progress with DTN analysis comes out. Tuesday at 8 a.m. the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index is out. At 8:45 a.m. we'll see the latest Chicago Business Barometer and the S&P Final U.S. Manufacturing PMI for September. At 9 a.m. Job Openings for August and Consumer Confidence numbers are out. At 11 a.m. U.S. Small Grains Summary and Grain Stocks. At 2 p.m. the latest Agricultural Prices data is out. Wednesday at 7:15 a.m. ADP Employment figures are out. Will lower employment trends continue? At 9 a.m. we'll see Construction Spending, then at 9:30 a.m. the EIA weekly petroleum and ethanol data. At 2 p.m., Broiler Hatchery, Fats and Oils, and Grain Crushing reports are due. Thursday at 7:30 a.m. we'll get both Grain Export Sales and Initial Jobless Claims. At 9 a.m., Factory Orders for August. At 10:30 a.m. the Weekly Economic Index numbers are out, and at 2 p.m. Weekly Slaughter data. Friday, the employment watch continues with the 7:30 a.m. release of U.S. Employment and U.S. Unemployment rate and Hourly Wages data. At 8:45 a.m., S&P Final U.S. Services PMI September. At 2 p.m. the Dairy Products data is out, followed at 2:30 p.m. by the CFTC Commitment of Traders report.

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