Commodities Market Impact Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- A large system could provide heavy rainfall to the Southern Mississippi Delta early next week, while a front continues to push north through Argentina and will eventually arrive across southern Brazil this weekend, providing pockets of heavy rain. These are the weather factors driving the markets Friday.

WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS FOR EASTERN MIDWEST EARLY NEXT WEEK

Cooler temperatures hold on for the Eastern Midwest on Friday. Temperatures will rise this weekend and though a system will go Sunday through Tuesday with scattered showers, the drop in temperatures will not be as severe as we have seen lately, and temperatures will rise again later next week. The rain and potential snow from the system could be heavy over some of the drought areas.

DRY CONDITIONS PLAGUE THE CENTRAL PLAINS WITH RAIN STAYING SOUTH

Besides some periodic showers moving through Texas, the Central Plains will remain on the drier side through early next week. Some areas across Nebraska could use more moisture. A larger system will go through Sunday and Monday that may have widespread precipitation for southern and eastern Texas, and another burst of colder air towards the middle of next week. The cooler temperatures will be short lived as warmer temperatures from the West expand east later next week.

PERIODIC, LIGHT SHOWERS MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN PLAINS

The recent cold snap will come to an end this weekend as temperatures increase rapidly on Friday though. Despite a system moving through on Sunday with a burst of colder air, it should be closer to normal, and temperatures will rise again a couple of days later. Light snow showers are expected to work through for the first half of next week, but the showers that move through will not be heavy enough to significantly improve drought conditions in the region.

POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN IN THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER EARLY NEXT WEEK

Water levels on the Mississippi River are above the low mark, but are still falling. Areas of heavy rain have moved through Louisiana, but showers have been more limited farther north. There could be a significant system that moves through on Sunday and Monday with better chances for heavier precipitation in parts of the region, which could be a temporary lift to water levels. However, the bulk of the precipitation could remain in the East later next week and lead to drier conditions along the Mississippi.

HEAVY RAIN LIKELY IN SOUTHERN BRAZIL THIS WEEKEND

Showers in central Brazil will again go more isolated this weekend. Another front will move through southern areas with heavier rainfall over the weekend that should boost showers in central Brazil again next week. The risk for heavy rainfall is moderate to high for northern Rio Grande do Sul and southern Parana, lending to a risk for flooding. Overall, conditions are still largely favorable for developing corn and soybeans across most of the country.

SPOTTY SHOWERS IN CENTRAL ARGENTINA COULD DISAPPOINT

A front continues to lift north through Saturday with scattered showers. Most areas have good growing conditions, but there are some areas in the south that are too dry. Rainfall across central and southern areas will be more limited early next week before showers could be more widespread towards the end of the week. Luckily, cooler temperatures in the wake of this week's front shouldn't accelerate soil from drying out too much into next week.

SHOWER CHANCES CONTINUE ACROSS BLACK SEA

Precipitation picked up in the east recently, helping to build some soil moisture as wheat continues to go dormant in mostly poor condition there. The region will hope for good precipitation over the winter to get a good start when the crop comes out of dormancy in the spring. Precipitation may pick up this weekend into next week and would be helpful if it does. Some of the heaviest precipitation may favor central Ukraine with lighter showers favoring western Russia.

EASTERN AUSTRALIA WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS ACTIVE

Scattered showers in the east have been heavy over the last week. Another system will move in on Friday through the weekend with more showers for the southeast as well. The rain is unfavorable for winter wheat and canola harvest, but good for cotton and sorghum development. Soil moisture is improving in many areas, though western areas are much drier, and showers will be isolated to the far southwest through early next week. Towards the middle of next week, a front could provide more heavy showers to the east.

Teresa Wells can be reached at teresa.wells@dtn.com

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