Commodities Market Impact Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- A continued active pattern for the U.S. with heavy rain, severe weather, and snow, wetter conditions in western Europe, drier conditions in the Black Sea region and showers in central Brazil are the weather factors driving the markets Tuesday.

HEAVY RAIN AND SNOW FOR MIDWEST

Widespread showers continue to move through the Midwest on Tuesday as a system wraps up in the Great Lakes. That will bring some heavy snow to eastern Wisconsin and some adjacent areas through Wednesday. Showers may linger over eastern areas on Thursday. Afterward, warmer temperatures will move in from the west through the weekend as well as another round of potential showers. And then a system is forecast to move through next week as well with more precipitation. Drought areas have been and are receiving more frequent precipitation, which is helping to limit the effects and build soil moisture before spring planting.

DRY FEW DAYS BEFORE MORE RAIN MOVES THROUGH CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS

A system is exiting early Tuesday which brought scattered showers and thunderstorms and some severe weather to the Central and Southern Plains. Areas in the southwest that have been drier also saw some needed rainfall. More showers are forecast to move through this weekend with more next week. The potential for rain is increasing, which could be helpful for winter wheat conditions after last week's hard freeze.

QUIETER IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS UNTIL THE WEEKEND

Snow went through South Dakota over the last couple of days. Drier weather follows for most of the Northern Plains, though western areas could see some showers moving through later this week as a trough spins off to the west. Some of those showers will be more widespread on Sunday and Monday. Cooler temperatures will rise this week, helping to melt the snow and add to soil moisture.

GOOD SOIL MOISTURE FOR DELTA

Soils are in good shape across most of the Delta as spring planting starts up. A front is moving through with scattered showers on Tuesday with a chance for more Sunday and Monday before a bigger system moves through later next week. Bigger breaks between storms could lead to some planting where it is not too wet.

SOIL MOISTURE NOT IMPROVING MUCH DESPITE HEAVIER RAIN IN BRAZIL

Scattered showers will likely continue across central Brazil all this week as well as next week. A front moving through southern areas brought some showers there early this week and another will probably do something similar later this week and weekend. Soil moisture has only increased slightly across central Brazil despite the better rainfall and southern areas are seeing soil moisture decreasing. The more active period through next week is going to be important as rainfall is forecast to be more limited afterward with the wet season winding down.

MORE SHOWERS FOR ARGENTINA

A persistent storm system in the northeast Atlantic brought waves of showers through western Europe over the weekend, which was helpful for Spain, but detrimental for France, which has continued to be too wet in many locations. The storm will send a bunch of energy through the continent this week, which favors northern areas with showers and increases temperatures. A somewhat similar forecast is lining up for next week as well.

WHEAT A BIT TOO DRY IN BLACK SEA

Some showers went through western Russia over the weekend, which were helpful where they occurred since it has been much drier in March. The active pattern across Europe will only bring isolated showers this week, which does not look all that helpful for building back in some topsoil moisture. Temperatures will continue to be very warm, hastening winter crop development and getting spring planting off to an early start across the south.

FRANCE AND UK STILL WET IN ACTIVE EUROPEAN PATTERN

A persistent storm system in the northeast Atlantic brought waves of showers through western Europe over the weekend, which was helpful for Spain, but detrimental for France, which has continued to be too wet in many locations. The storm will send a bunch of energy through the continent this week, which favors northern areas with showers and increases temperatures. A somewhat similar forecast is lining up for next week as well.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com.

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