Commodities Market Impact Weather

Teresa Deutchman
Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- The rest of this week will feature more scattered chances for rain showers and storms across the Corn Belt and cool to mild temperatures for the north-central U.S. Meanwhile, above-normal temperatures will expand across the south. In South America, a few fronts will bring more chances for rain to southern Brazil and east-central Argentina into this weekend. By the second half of this week, a warming trend will usher away the recent cool temperatures across northern Argentina and southern Brazil.

SPORADIC SHOWERS FOR THE MIDWEST INTO THE WEEKEND

Widely scattered showers and storms will continue through the middle of this week as a trough from the Canadian Prairies moves across the region by midweek. More scattered showers are expected for this weekend, as a front from Canada drops into the region. Drier conditions should return by early next week. Rain is coming at enough of a frequency to maintain or boost soil moisture in some areas, though there are plenty that are also seeing disappointment and low soil moisture, creating mixed conditions for developing corn and soybeans.

CENTRAL PLAINS REMAIN ACTIVE THIS WEEK WITH HOT TEMPERATURES FOR THE SOUTHERN PLAINS

A fairly active weather pattern will remain in place for the Central Plains the rest of this week as systems pass through from the west. Showers will become more isolated this weekend and shift farther south into Texas. Though the areas receiving rainfall are somewhat disorganized, the frequency is still good for this time of year. Temperatures are also mild for northern areas but will be above normal across Texas into this weekend. Conditions are mostly favorable for much of the region despite the continued drought, though the scattered rain will disrupt those finishing up their wheat harvest.

MORE CHANCES FOR RAIN IN THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND CANADIAN PRAIRIES THIS WEEK

A trough is entering the Canadian Prairies Tuesday and will eventually move into the Northern Plains by Wednesday, providing isolated to scattered showers. Chances for rain will continue across these regions into this weekend as more systems pass by. Near- to below-normal temperatures are expected to reduce stress on developing crops, but overall, below-normal precipitation is expected through this week as any heavier rainfall will likely be isolated.

RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS THE DELTA THIS WEEK, BUT SOME LOCATIONS STAYING DRY

More scattered showers and storms are expected through this weekend as systems work east from the Rockies. Drier conditions will steadily return through the first half of next week. Any rainfall will benefit crops entering their reproductive stages, but for those who miss the more measurable rainfall, yield potential may decrease.

RAIN IN SOUTHERN BRAZIL WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES ON THE WAY

Dry conditions favored the progression of safrinha corn harvest across central Brazil this past weekend. Recent rainfall last week improved soil moisture across southern Brazil, benefiting vegetative wheat and late-planted corn. More rainfall will continue across southern Brazil through the middle of the week, as a cold front tags the states of Parana and Sao Paulo. Another system may develop later this week and offer rainfall to Rio Grande Do Sul. Producers across southern Brazil will still be dodging showers as they continue to harvest their safrinha corn.

DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THIS WEEK BUT WARMER TEMPERATURES RETURN

Soil moisture remains sub-optimal in Argentina. Mostly dry conditions will continue across the northern half of Argentina this week with high pressure in place. By this weekend and into early next week, a cold front may provide more widespread showers to the northern half of the country. Below normal temperatures will also continue through the middle of this week, creating a moderate risk for frost during the mornings as low temperatures approach freezing for some areas. A significant warm up is expected to return by the end of this week and persist into the weekend with well-above-normal temperatures for northeastern areas.

SCATTERED SHOWERS IN EUROPE THIS WEEK

More scattered showers are expected through this week as low-pressure systems continue to enter northern Europe. Temperatures will be above normal across southern areas and near to slightly below normal for the north this week. There may be some downtime between showers, but the pattern is overall favorable for most areas.

Teresa Deutchman can be reached at teresa.deutchman@dtn.com

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