Commodities Market Impact Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Rising temperatures and more rain for the U.S., and a drier central Brazil are the weather factors driving the markets Tuesday.

TEMPERATURES SLOWLY RISING FOR MIDWEST

A big storm system continues to produce showers near the Great Lakes through Wednesday and may be mixed with snow during the overnight periods. Some cold air will remain in place early this week with a gradual rise later in the week and improving conditions for planting. Another system moves through this weekend into next week with showers being possible.

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS GETTING MORE SHOWERS

Temperatures are on the rise for the Central and Southern Plains this week. After some favorable rains last week, this week should offer periods of showers as well as next week, though less organized in nature. Still, the additional rains will be beneficial to wheat and early corn and soybeans.

TEMPERATURES, SHOWERS INCREASING FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Temperatures continue to rise in the Northern Plains this week, favoring some planting. Scattered showers will likely move in Friday and continue in waves through next week, offering some increase in soil moisture for some of the dry areas.

DELTA STILL WET

Wet conditions in the Delta are mostly favorable for developing crops, though somewhat difficult for planting. Scattered showers will move through later this week and again over the weekend with another couple of systems moving through.

TEMPERATURES HIGH IN CANADIAN PRAIRIES

Rising temperatures over the weekend in the Canadian Prairies helped melt the remaining snowpack across the far north and east, favoring an increase in soil temperatures and planting activities. Most of the week should be dry, with a chance for showers over the weekend into next week, which are needed for some of the drier areas in the west.

LIMITED RAIN FOR CORN IN BRAZIL

A front will remain stalled in southern Brazil with scattered showers for at least the next week. Showers may clip the far southern safrinha corn areas, but will help to increase soil moisture for winter wheat. Safrinha corn areas have good soil moisture for now but would enjoy the front to slip farther north this weekend or next week with some showers. Temperatures remain warm with no risk of frost.

LIMITED SHOWERS FOR ARGENTINA

A front moved through Argentina on Sunday with scattered showers. The rains are helpful for conditioning soils for winter wheat planting, but more are needed. However, it should remain drier -- unfavorable for winter wheat but favorable for corn and soybean harvest.

GOOD WEATHER FOR MOST OF EUROPE, SPAIN STILL DRY

A fairly active storm track continues to move through Europe for the next week, favorable for bringing widespread rains to most areas. Spain remains very hot and dry and in desperate need of additional rainfall. However, it should miss out on most of the rainfall over the next week. A burst of colder air will sag south through northeastern areas of the continent later this week, which may produce some frosts. Otherwise, good weather conditions continue for winter- and spring-sown crops.

COOL SHOT COMING TO BLACK SEA

Showers have been consistent across much of the Black Sea region over the last several weeks, favoring winter wheat development and corn planting. Showers will become less common by midweek as colder air settles into the region, which may produce some frosts across the northern end of the region. Outside of that potential, conditions for growth remain fairly good.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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