Commodities Market Impact Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- A large storm in the U.S., a change in the pattern for next week, and isolated rains in central Brazil are the weather factors driving the markets Tuesday.

ANOTHER SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR MIDWEST

A strong storm will move through the Midwest Tuesday and Wednesday with a renewed risk for widespread severe storms and strong winds. Snow will be more limited to the far northwest with this system, however. Warmer conditions forecast for next week are likely to get more of the northern snowpack melted and allow folks to get out into their fields if not too wet.

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS WITH LIMITED SHOWERS, STRONG WINDS

A strong storm system will be moving across the Central and Southern Plains Tuesday. The system is tracking farther north than last week's system, with most of the impacts to the north with a blizzard. The far east could get in on some severe storms, however. But the drought areas again will be bypassed, with strong winds being the concern yet again for both damage and blowing dust. Wheat continues to have a rough go with weather conditions.

QUICK WARMUP HEADING FOR NORTHERN PLAINS AND CANADIAN PRAIRIES

A blizzard is building and will continue across the Northern Plains and far eastern Canadian Prairies into Wednesday, which should bring another round of hefty amounts across a vast area of the region and strong winds to cause blowing, drifting, and damage. A cool shot follows the system going through the weekend. A quick warmup is expected next week, which will cause significant melting of the snowpack, but is likely to lead to flooding.

EXTENDED PRECIPITATION HEADING FOR DELTA

More thunderstorms are expected in the Delta again with severe potential on Wednesday. The front to this system will likely stall in the region, continuing showers through Saturday, especially across the south. Wet soils are keeping fieldwork and planting slow. Quieter weather next week will help soils to drain and allow for more fieldwork.

BRIEF INCREASE IN SHOWERS FOR CENTRAL BRAZIL

Wet season showers continue to be isolated through central Brazil through April, though may be enhanced later this week by a front moving up from Argentina. Still, precipitation is forecast to be below normal, leaving some concern for enough available soil moisture for developing safrinha corn. The systems moving through the south may be able to keep soil moisture in a good position for the rest of the month.

QUIETER CONDITIONS COMING TO ARGENTINA

Despite better weather in the last couple of weeks, corn and soybean conditions in Argentina continue to be poor as the rains have been too late to have a positive impact on yield potential. The rains have been able to stabilize crop conditions, however. Another front moves through northern areas over the next couple of days, but should be followed by drier conditions into next week. A stronger cold front may move through next week, which would bring more showers.

COLDER TEMPERATURES FOR EUROPE

Colder air has settled into most of Europe this week, which is bringing widespread frosty mornings, but should not cause a lot of damage. Areas of mixed rain and snow will develop in the cooler air through the coming weekend. Spain and Italy continue to be drier. More is needed in these areas while the rest of the continent is in good shape so far this spring.

GOOD GROWING CONDITIONS CONTINUE FOR BLACK SEA

Periods of showers will continue to move through the Black Sea region for the next week, but also come with cooler temperatures for Ukraine, which may slow development of winter grains. Overall, though, growing conditions are mostly favorable across the region.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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