MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- A large storm in the U.S., a change in the pattern for next week, and isolated rains in central Brazil are the weather factors driving the markets Monday.
ANOTHER SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR MIDWEST
A major spring storm moved through the Midwest on Friday and Saturday, bringing widespread severe storms and damage, strong winds, and heavy snow across the northwest. Another strong storm will move through Tuesday and Wednesday with a renewed risk for widespread severe storms and strong winds. Snow will be more limited to the far northwest with this system, however. Wet conditions and a burst of chilly air will continue to keep fieldwork and early planting slow.
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS WITH LIMITED SHOWERS, STRONG WINDS
Strong to severe storms moved across northern Texas and Oklahoma on Sunday, but missed the drought areas with any of the significant precipitation. Another strong storm system will be moving out of the West on Monday night and Tuesday. The system will track farther north than last week's system, with most of the impacts to the north with the blizzard. The far east could get in on some severe storms, however. But the drought areas again will be bypassed, with strong winds being the concern yet again for both damage and blowing dust. Wheat continues to have a rough go with weather conditions.
SNOWPACK INCREASING IN NORTHERN PLAINS AND CANADIAN PRAIRIES
Heavy snow fell in South Dakota on Friday, though a lot of that melted over the weekend with full sun and a brief little warmup. That does not last long as a blizzard is expected in the Northern Plains and eastern Canadian Prairies Monday night into early Wednesday, which should bring another round of hefty amounts across a vast area of the region and strong winds to cause blowing, drifting, and damage. A cool shot follows the system going through the weekend. Heavy snowpack in the region is a major concern for flooding, especially given potential for a quick rise in mid-April.
DELTA STAYING WET THIS WEEK
Another couple rounds of severe thunderstorms and severe weather moved through the Delta last Friday and Sunday night. More thunderstorms follow, again with severe potential Wednesday. The front to this system will likely stall in the region, continuing showers through the weekend, especially across the south. Wet soils are keeping fieldwork and planting slow.
SHOWERS ISOLATED FOR CENTRAL BRAZIL
Wet season showers continue to be isolated through central Brazil through April, though may be enhanced at times by a couple of fronts moving up from Argentina. Still, precipitation is forecast to be below normal, leaving some concern for enough available soil moisture for developing safrinha corn. The systems moving through the south may be able to keep soil moisture in a good position for the rest of the month.
MORE RAIN IN ARGENTINA
Despite better weather in the last couple of weeks, corn and soybean conditions continue to be poor in Argentina as the rains have been too late to have a positive impact on yield potential. The rains have been able to stabilize crop conditions, however. Another front moves through early this week but should be followed by drier conditions for the rest of the week. A stronger cold front may move through next week, which would bring more showers, but also the potential for frost.
COLDER TEMPERATURES FOR EUROPE
Widespread precipitation moved through Europe over the weekend. Colder air is spreading through the continent this week, which should bring widespread frosty mornings, but should not cause a lot of damage. Areas of mixed rain and snow will develop in the cooler air through the coming weekend. Spain and Italy did not receive nearly the rain that is needed and rain this week will be limited as well. More is needed in these areas while the rest of the continent is in good shape so far this spring.
GOOD GROWING CONDITIONS CONTINUE FOR BLACK SEA
Periods of showers will continue to move through the Black Sea region for the next week, but also come with cooler temperatures for Ukraine, which may slow development of winter grains. Overall though, growing conditions are mostly favorable across the region.
John Baranick can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org
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