Commodities Market Impact Weather

Teresa Deutchman
Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- A ridge continues to build across the Central U.S., leading to a break in the active weather pattern. In Argentina, above-normal temperatures continue, but periods of scattered rain showers are expected through Thursday.

QUIETER WEATHER FOR MIDWEST

A calmer pattern settles across the region through the middle of the week with a ridge developing over the region. By Thursday into Friday, another low-pressure system from the West will provide more rain and snow showers to the area. In the wake of this system, below to well-below average temperatures will follow into early next week.

ACITVE WEATHER RETURNS LATER IN THE WEEK FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

A few isolated showers are possible across west Texas and Oklahoma on Tuesday. A stronger system will move in on Thursday and Friday, providing scattered rain and thunderstorms to the area. Even a few snow showers cannot be ruled out behind the system's cold front. However, areas such as western Kansas could miss out on the heavier rainfall again as drought conditions persist.

COLD AIR REMAINS ENTRENCHED ACROSS NORTHERN PLAINS AND CANADIAN PRAIRIES

A few systems will move through the Northern Plains and Canadian Prairies this week, providing more snowfall. Below to well-below normal temperatures will remain across these areas through early next week, requiring more input for livestock operations.

FLOODING FOR DELTA, FIELDWORK SLOW

Water levels on the Mississippi River remain high for the foreseeable future due to more rainfall and thunderstorms forecast during the second half of the week as a strong cold front works through. Some tributaries of the Mississippi in the southern Delta are approaching minor flooding. The heavy precipitation has left the region wet and more difficult to do some early fieldwork.

HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES IN BRAZIL

Scattered showers continue for much of Brazil's growing regions this week. Despite recent rains, many areas continue to make progress with regard to soybean harvest and corn planting. However, some areas are behind, somewhat significantly, and will expose more of the corn crop to the dry season which is forecast start up in April and frosts that may occur in June. Corn already in the ground will benefit from good soil moisture.

BETTER CHANCES FOR RAIN IN ARGENTINA

Periods of isolated to scattered showers are possible across the northern half of Argentina through Thursday, with drier conditions returning thereafter. However, for most areas, the rain is too late to have much of an impact. Additionally, above-average temperatures are expected to continue this week, with daytime highs near 100 degrees Fahrenheit when the rains do not occur. The heat will keep stress high for both crops in various stages of growth, but isolated rain showers may provide some relief for dry conditions.

DRY AND HOT FOR THE START OF THE WEEK IN INDIA

A heatwave will continue across most of India for the start of the week along with mostly dry conditions. As long as precipitation does not occur, daytime highs may exceed 100F. By the second half of the week, temperatures come down a little bit and more chances for scattered showers and thunderstorms return. The heat and limited showers early this week may be stressful for filling winter wheat.

Teresa Deutchman can be reached at teresa.deutchman@dtn.com

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