Commodities Market Impact Weather

Strong Front Moving Through

John Baranick
By  John Baranick , DTN Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- An active pattern through the United States and drier conditions coming to Argentina are the weather factors holding the market's attention Tuesday.

MORE DELAYS COMING TO EASTERN MIDWEST

Recent precipitation in the Midwest has been mostly light, but included accumulating snow over the north and also from Indiana into Ohio during the weekend. An active pattern will continue this week with a front coming through on Wednesday and Thursday with scattered showers over eastern areas, and another storm system moving through this weekend with scattered shower potential. Any showers will delay the remaining harvest and fieldwork yet to be done.

SOUTHWESTERN PLAINS REMAIN UNFAVORABLY DRY

Dry conditions in the Southern Plains during the last week have helped the remaining harvest, but continues to be a concern for winter wheat, especially in the west. A couple of fronts will move through over the next week but each of them has low chances for precipitation.

BRIEF SHOWERS COMING TO THE DELTA

A front will move through the Delta with some showers Wednesday night and Thursday with another possible this weekend, helping winter wheat establishment. But the rain could slow the remaining harvest.

SOUTHEAST SEEING GOOD HARVEST WEATHER

Dry weather occurred over the Southeast this weekend, favoring harvest. A front will move through on Thursday but is likely to be dry.

ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS IN PACIFIC NORTHWEST

Some showers moved through the Pacific Northwest on Monday night, but mostly fell in the mountains while the valleys stayed rather dry. Another system will move through later this week, again with impacts mostly for the mountains with lighter showers in the valleys. Winter wheat continues to deal with drought before going dormant.

DRYNESS CONCERNS FOR BLACK SEA

Dry weather occurred over the Black Sea region this weekend. A system is moving through on Monday but is mostly dry. Another system will move through with a better chance for scattered showers Friday through the weekend, but amounts are forecast to be light. Time is getting very short for showers to have an impact before dormancy, which typically arrives later this month.

SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR BRAZIL

Scattered showers continue over central Brazil but it was dry again over southern areas this weekend. The dryness would be concerning but showers are expected to move through with a slow-moving front Tuesday through Thursday that should bring helpful rainfall. Dryness after this front comes through should last through next weekend, however, and dryness is starting to take over southern states, typical of La Nina. Central areas continue to see daily showers that will benefit corn and soybean development.

DRIER PATTERN COMING TO ARGENTINA

Widespread showers along another front will move through Argentina on Tuesday, favoring developing corn and soybeans. Dryness will follow behind it for the rest of the week, but there could be another system moving through next weekend or early the following week, maintaining timely showers.

WET SOILS IMPACTING HARVEST IN EASTERN AUSTRALIA

Some showers fell across southeastern Australia during the weekend, but most areas were dry, helping soils to drain from the deluges that occurred last week. It will likely take some time for harvest to increase for wheat and canola but there should be some good conditions for most of the week. Another system moving through late this week and weekend will benefit summer crops while causing further delays for harvest.

**

Get a full rundown on the 2022 outlook for weather affecting U.S. and international crop areas during the DTN Ag Summit, Dec. 5-7, in Chicago. Visit www.dtn.com/agsummit for more details about the summit and to register. Register before Nov. 26 for the early bird rate.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

John Baranick