Commodities Market Impact Weather

Strong Cold Front Sweeping Through the Country

John Baranick
By  John Baranick , DTN Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Scattered showers causing harvest delays in the Eastern Corn Belt, a push of cold air this weekend and next week, and good chances and coverage of rain in South America are the weather factors holding the market's attention Friday.

HARVEST DELAYS CONTINUING IN MIDWEST

Rain will continue to move through the Midwest through Saturday, exacerbating wet field conditions over a good portion of the region, and continuing to delay harvest and winter wheat planting. Cold weather moving in this weekend into next week will slow drainage and could lead to some more precipitation for southern and eastern areas for further delays.

SOUTHERN PLAINS SEEING SHOWERS NEXT WEEK

A system brought scattered showers to much of the Southeastern Plains this week. These showers missed western winter wheat areas that did not get much precipitation out of the last couple of systems. Windy conditions during the last couple of days likely dried out topsoils further, which could hurt winter wheat establishment. Precipitation will come to these areas next week, but that could come in the form of snow with very low temperatures moving in as well.

COLD AIR COMING TO THE NORTHERN PLAINS

Showers across the Northern Plains this week may have affected the remaining corn harvest. A strong cold front will send temperatures tumbling this weekend and continue next week.

SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR DELTA

A system brought moderate rainfall to the Delta this week, which may be causing harvest delays, but good moisture for winter wheat. More showers are expected with a front that moves through next week, along with falling temperatures.

DRIER SOUTHEAST WEATHER

A system moved through the Southeast during the last two days with widespread and heavy showers that could cause more of a delay to cotton harvest. Some lighter showers may linger into the weekend before going on a drier trend into next week.

LOW RAIN CHANCES FOR PACIFIC NORTHWEST

A trough off the coast has brought some periods of showers to the Pacific Northwest during the last week, being beneficial for winter wheat establishment in some spots, but too light in others. This trough will continue to bring moisture into the region through the weekend, but is mostly falling out over the mountains. Another wave or two may be possible next week as the trough remains offshore.

BLACK SEA KEEPING WARM AND DRY THROUGH WEEKEND

Dry weather looks to be in place through Monday for Ukraine and western Russia, along with above-normal temperatures going through next week. Winter wheat is starting to run out of time before lower temperatures settle in for the year and wheat goes dormant. Some showers may move through the region next week but are forecast to be spotty.

SHOWERS INCREASING ACROSS BRAZIL THIS WEEKEND

Scattered showers will continue over central Brazil for the next week, continuing to benefit soybean and full-season corn planting and early growth. Dry conditions across the south have favored winter wheat harvest this week while there is still plenty of soil moisture for early plant growth. Isolated showers will move back into southern areas this weekend and scattered showers are expected next week as a system moves through.

INCREASING CHANCES FOR RAIN IN ARGENTINA NEXT WEEK

Dry conditions in Argentina this week have been unfavorable for corn and soybean planting and establishment. Isolated showers will start to move back in Friday through the weekend with a better chance at widespread moderate showers next week as a system moves through.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

John Baranick