Commodities Market Impact Weather

Fair Conditions Monday

John Baranick
By  John Baranick , DTN Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- A system moving through the Corn Belt this week along with a La Nina type pattern in South America are the weather factors holding the market's attention Monday.

SCATTERED MIDWEST SHOWERS

A system brought scattered showers to the southeastern half of the Midwest Friday into early Saturday. A system will bring scattered showers to the region Wednesday and Thursday and temperatures will fall below normal behind the system. Showers could produce some further delays in a few spots. Temperatures will rise above normal again next week to finish out October.

A FEW SHOWERS FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

Dry weather occurred in the Southern Plains during the weekend, as well as frosty conditions across Nebraska and western Kansas into the Texas Panhandle. A system will bring some scattered showers to northern areas Tuesday and Wednesday, and some snow for western Nebraska as well. Temperatures will be below normal for a few days after the system passes through, but go on a warming trend this weekend into next week.

SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Dry conditions were noted for the Northern Plains during the weekend as well as some frost. A system will bring some scattered showers mostly to South Dakota on Tuesday and Wednesday with some snow over western areas again. There may be some continued delays for harvest out of these showers, but nothing overly concerning. Temperatures will go below normal for a couple of days after this system passes through but go above normal again this weekend into next week.

MOSTLY DRY IN THE DELTA

A front brought scattered showers to the Delta on Friday, enough to benefit winter wheat establishment, but not enough to affect harvest too much. A system will pass by to the north later this week and the region should remain mostly dry, though temperatures will fall below normal for a few days following it.

SOUTHEAST SHOWERS RETURNING LATER THIS WEEK

Dry weather continues in the Southeast through the middle of the week, benefiting harvest. A front will come through with scattered showers that could produce some harvest delays late in the week.

BLACK SEA NEEDS MORE RAIN

Some isolated showers moved through the Black Sea region during the weekend and continue through the week, but more spots will be dry than get a shower. A front will move through with more scattered showers this weekend before temperatures fall below normal and some frosts develop. Dryness continues to be a concern for winter wheat establishment before lower temperatures settle in for the year and wheat goes dormant.

CENTRAL BRAZIL RAINS CONTINUING

Scattered showers fell across Brazil during the weekend but are clearing out of southern areas. Scattered showers will continue in central areas through the week, benefiting corn and soybean planting and development. Dryness over the south is not concerning and should benefit winter wheat harvest. A front will bring more showers to southern areas this weekend.

ONLY BRIEF SHOWERS FOR ARGENTINA

Dryness during the weekend in Argentina continues through the middle of the week, unfavorable for all crops. A front will move through late in the week with some scattered showers, but coverage does not look to be very widespread at this time and dryness looks to follow again.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

John Baranick