Commodities Market Impact Weather

GRAND ISLAND, Neb. (DTN) -- An active pattern bringing periods of showers across the Corn Belt, Tropical Storm Nicholas' potential impact to the Delta and recovery efforts, and wet weather in southern Brazil are the weather factors holding the market's attention Tuesday.

SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR MIDWEST

Isolated showers moved across the northern Midwest this weekend and Monday with some pockets of moderate rainfall. Isolated to occasionally scattered showers will continue over the next 10 days as a few systems move through; temperatures will continue to be above normal. This will favor maturing corn and soybeans and early harvest. Soil moisture is still favorable for winter wheat planting and establishment. A system early to mid-next week could bring some more widespread showers to the region but that is not certain yet.

DRIER AND HOT IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

Some isolated showers will be possible in the Southern Plains through the next week, but most areas should stay dry while temperatures remain above normal. This will favor maturing corn and soybeans and harvest but deplete soil moisture for winter wheat establishment. A system early next week could bring some more widespread showers to the region but that is not certain yet.

ISOLATED SHOWERS FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Scattered showers moved through the Northern Plains on Monday with some pockets of moderate rainfall. Several systems will move through over the next 10 days, but showers look to be isolated for the most part. This should favor maturing crops and early harvest, but the drought continues. Showers early next week may be on the heavier side, but that is not certain yet.

DELTA FOCUSED ON NICHOLAS' RAIN

Tropical Storm Nicholas could bring heavy rainfall to southern portions of the Delta through Thursday, which could cause damage to maturing cotton and soybeans. Otherwise, isolated showers will be possible through the week.

SOUTHEAST SHOWERS INCREASING

Tropical Storm Nicholas could bring heavy rainfall to portions of the Southeast later this week, which could damage mature cotton. Otherwise, isolated showers will be possible and could affect cotton as well.

DRY CONDITIONS IN BLACK SEA

Isolated showers moved through the Black Sea on Sunday but there were many dry areas. Dry weather is anticipated for most areas this week. This will favor maturing and harvest of summer crops, but the region could use more moisture for winter wheat planting and establishment. This is especially true across Russia, where it has been overly dry this summer.

HEAVY SOUTHERN BRAZIL RAINFALL

Southern Brazil will stay active over the next week as another system moves through and a front stalls. This will favor winter wheat and recharge soil moisture for corn and soybeans. Central states are still awaiting the start of the wet season. Soybean planting restrictions lift this week but will need more moisture for seed-to-soil contact in these central areas before planting picks up. Models are suggesting it will stay relatively dry through the end of September with only isolated showers in Mato Grosso at times.

LIMITED SHOWERS FOR ARGENTINA

Dry conditions are expected in Argentina for the next week. Winter wheat has gotten some moisture lately but could use more as it gets further into reproduction. And more moisture is needed for corn and soybean planting as well.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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