Commodities Market Impact Weather

Midwest Showers, But Drier Pattern

John Baranick
By  John Baranick , DTN Meteorologist

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Drier conditions across much of the United States outside of the Midwest and wetter across South America are the weather factors holding the market's attention Tuesday.

MIDWEST SHOWERS NEXT FEW DAYS

Scattered showers fell across the southern Midwest this weekend, but most areas across the north remained dry. Conditions are improving for drydown and early harvest of corn and soybeans. While systems will pass through the region during the next two weeks, showers will be more limited, scattered, and light for the most part. Soil moisture is still favorable for winter wheat planting and establishment.

SOUTHERN PLAINS A BIT DRIER

Moderate to heavy rain fell across Kansas with some flooding this weekend with more isolated showers elsewhere in the Southern Plains. Rainfall will be good for winter wheat planting and establishment, but sporadic drought has been popping up around the region lately and more showers will be necessary to end it. Drier conditions during the next week will benefit drydown of crops and early harvest.

NORTHERN PLAINS ON DRIER TREND

It was a fairly dry holiday weekend for the Northern Plains. Recent showers have put a dent in the ongoing drought, but it still remains throughout the region. A few systems will pass through the region during the next 10 days, but shower chances will be lower and more scattered. The drought does not look to get wiped out anytime soon.

DRIER CONDITIONS FOR THE DELTA

Scattered showers moved through the Delta during the weekend, but some areas remained dry. Dry weather is expected during the next week, favoring maturing soybeans and cotton.

SOUTHEAST SHOWERS MAY IMPACT COTTON

A few showers moved through the Southeast this weekend, but most areas remained dry, allowing western areas to dry out from Ida's heavy rainfall last week. Scattered showers are expected this week and could be the result of a small tropical system on Thursday. The rains and potential for flooding may cause some damage to open cotton bolls.

EASTERN BLACK SEA DRIER AGAIN

There were limited showers across the Black Sea region this weekend, mostly over the north. Drier conditions are expected this week, favoring drydown of summer crops and planting of winter wheat. Soil moisture in Ukraine is much better than in Russia, especially in the Volga Valley where dry conditions over the summer have limited soil moisture for winter wheat establishment.

SOUTHERN BRAZIL RAINFALL

Scattered showers moved through southern Brazil during the weekend. Another system will produce scattered showers across southern areas during the next few days. Some showers may even develop over Mato Grosso, but the start to the wet season is still a couple of weeks away. Winter wheat is seeing improved conditions as it gets farther into reproduction and fill while some full-season corn is being planted. Soybeans are restricted from planting for another few days at least so the showers coming to southern areas will benefit soils before planting begins.

SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR ARGENTINA

Some scattered showers developed over Argentina this weekend, though some areas were missed. Another system developing Tuesday will bring more showers to the region that should be helpful. The rain has been good for developing to reproductive winter wheat, but soils need more moisture for soybean and corn planting.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

John Baranick