Commodities Market Impact Weather
Better Rainfall for Southern Plains
MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Beneficial rainfall for the Southern Plains and portions of South America are the weather factors holding the market's attention Friday.
MIDWEST SHOWERS SLOWING DOWN
Scattered showers, flooding, and severe weather have been a concern in the Midwest during the last couple of weeks. Another system is passing through western areas on Friday while the region may see additional showers into the weekend and early next week. But systems are not moving through with as much rainfall as we have seen lately. Showers may have some minor benefit to corn and soybeans, but are starting to become a hindrance for early harvest. Drought reduction has been good, but it still remains across the northwest.
IMPROVED RAINFALL CHANCES FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS
Nebraska and Kansas will stay active during the next day or two as a front slowly settles south through the region. Some minor benefits to corn and soybeans are possible, but overall this will have a better impact on the sporadic drought outside of the flood risks. Southern winter wheat areas need more moisture to start planting and the front should provide at least some beneficial rainfall this weekend.
NORTHERN PLAINS TRENDING DRIER
Scattered showers have been crossing the Northern Plains during the last couple of weeks. Severe weather has also been a concern with the showers. A system brought moderate to locally heavy rainfall to the east on Thursday. There may be only some minor benefits to filling corn and soybeans in the region, but they rain should help reduce at least some of the drought. The pattern will turn much drier with this system leaving the region with only some isolated showers possible yet through Saturday. The dryness will help crops dry out, but lessen the chances for more drought improvement.
FRONTAL SHOWERS FOR DELTA
Bands of rain from Ida mostly missed the Delta this week outside of the far south. The drier forecast was beneficial to maturing cotton and soybeans. Some isolated showers will be possible during the next week, but remain drier than normal. Conditions continue to be mostly favorable for both crops.
DRIER CONDITIONS IN THE SOUTHEAST
Bands from Ida brought moderate rainfall to the Southeast this week. While flooding was unlikely, it could have had a negative impact on open bolls. Otherwise, favorable conditions continue for filling cotton as drier weather settles in for the next several days.
EASTERN BLACK SEA SEEING RAINFALL
A system moving through the Black Sea will produce scattered showers, benefiting late fill on crops, but will only have a minor effect as crops are mostly set going through early September. The showers will be beneficial for soil moisture across Russia for winter wheat planting, but more will be needed.
A COUPLE ROUNDS OF RAIN FOR SOUTHERN BRAZIL
Recent showers in southern Brazil have been favorable for developing to reproductive winter wheat and recharging some soil moisture for spring planting which starts in the next two weeks. Another front will come through with showers this weekend, and at least the southern portions of the region should remain active into next week. Central growing areas await the start to the wet season, which usually happens at the end of September.
SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR ARGENTINA
Temperatures above normal in Argentina have been accelerating wheat development this week. A system brought scattered showers to the region this week to aid in wheat development, but more are needed. It appears another couple of systems could bring the needed showers next week.
John Baranick can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org
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