Commodities Market Impact Weather

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- The prospect for heavy rain in portions of the Corn Belt along with relatively good conditions for the rest of the world's growing regions are the primary weather concerns holding the market's attention Friday.

HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE STORMS IN MIDWEST

A system this weekend into early next week will bring moderate to heavy rainfall for a good portion of the Midwest, but include risks of severe weather as well. Areas to the northwest will likely not fair as well as the south and east, where drought has been a larger concern. Some flooding risks will be possible in the Mid-Mississippi Valley as well.

SCATTERED SHOWERS IN SOUTHERN PLAINS

Several fronts will continue to offer chances for rain, especially for Nebraska and Kansas for developing to reproductive corn and soybeans, two states that have had some of the best crop conditions so far this year. Remaining wheat in the field will find some harvest delays where the showers occur.

ISOLATED SHOWERS FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

Scattered showers will move through the Northern Plains through Saturday, offering some drought relief for a few lucky areas. Another system next week may do the same. There will undoubtedly be some areas that remain dry or only see limited showers, which could be larger than those lucky areas.

PERIODS OF DELTA SHOWERS

In the Delta, periods of showers both recent and forecast are keeping prospects fairly good for developing to reproductive cotton and soybeans for most areas during the next week.

DAILY SOUTHEAST SHOWERS

In the Southeast, heavy rainfall from Tropical Storm Elsa has created some flooding, but damage has been rather minimal as the system has moved through. Generally favorable conditions for developing to reproductive cotton continue across the region for the next week with several chances for additional rainfall.

HOTTER AND DRIER IN CANADIAN PRAIRIES

Some scattered showers moved through the Canadian Prairies this week but have generally been light and only locally moderate. A system will move through early next week with some scattered showers, but again amounts look to be mostly light while temperatures will continue to be above normal. Stress for developing to reproductive wheat and canola continues to increase.

SOUTHERN BRAZIL RAIN LATE NEXT WEEK

Frosts in Brazil last week caused widespread damage to immature corn across southern growing areas. Dry weather since and for the next several days will continue to cause stress. There is a chance that southern areas see some rainfall late next week, but amounts are likely to be scattered and mostly light. Vegetative winter wheat has likely been faring better with more widespread showers and better soil moisture. The crop may have been damaged by the frosts last week, but likely came out with minimal impact.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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