Commodities Market Impact Weather

Promising Northern Moisture Chance

Bryce Anderson
By  Bryce Anderson , Ag Meteorologist Emeritus
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OMAHA (DTN) -- Continued chances for beneficial rain in northern crop areas and a chance for needed rain in portions of Brazil's corn areas are the primary weather features for the commodity market's attention Wednesday.

VARIABLE MIDWEST RAINFALL

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for scattered light rain in the western Midwest during this midweek time frame. Rain is indicated to expand across the entire region during the seven-day period. Drier conditions in the eastern Midwest will favor planting progress. Above-normal temperatures are expected through at least the weekend, benefiting developing corn and soybeans.

WET SOUTHERN PLAINS TREND

Periods of widespread showers look to continue through Sunday in the Southern Plains, with isolated showers continuing next week. All developing crops will benefit from the increasing moisture. However, heavy amounts in the southeast sector will cause flooding. In addition, the wetter and cooler conditions are increasing the threat of disease in winter wheat.

NORTHERN PLAINS MOISTURE WATCH

In the Northern Plains, a series of upper-level disturbances are indicated to move through the region during the next 10 days with moderate to heavy showers. This should help to ease drought conditions, benefiting developing crops and increasing soil moisture. Temperatures may go below normal for several days and there is a risk of snow across Montana.

DRIER DELTA FORECAST

The Delta forecast continues to offer light to moderate rain during Wednesday. The pattern then turns dry with very warm to hot conditions. This combination will generally be beneficial for corn, soybeans and cotton with the drier trend offering favorable conditions for the final stage of planting.

SOUTHEAST HEAT

In the Southeast, soil moisture is adequate to surplus following recent rains. The rainy trend has also disrupted planting. The pattern is turning notably drier and warmer during the coming seven-day period. This will favor additional planting and early crop growth.

PROMISING MOISTURE FOR PRAIRIES

Dry areas of the Canadian Prairies have a promising forecast for needed moisture. A system moving into the western U.S. will bring chances for widespread moderate to locally heavy precipitation, occurring mostly as rain along with some snow. The wetter and cooler pattern will also cause some disruption in planting and early crop growth; however, the moisture will be very welcome.

MIXED BRAZIL RAIN

Brazil's southern winter corn areas have moderate to locally heavy rainfall in store through the next seven days. Updated forecasts indicate some rain prospects moving into northern corn areas as well, including the state of Mato Grosso. Benefits to the drought-stressed winter corn crop will be marginal due to damaging heat and dryness during this season. Temperatures turn lower in the forecast which will also be less stressful.

NEW ARGENTINA RAIN CHANCE

In central Argentina, recent dry weather has benefited row crop harvest and winter wheat planting. A system moving into the country will produce widespread showers through Friday before becoming drier again. Soil moisture is favorable for developing winter wheat.

Bryce Anderson can be reached at bryce.anderson@dtn.com

Follow him on Twitter @BAndersonDTN

Bryce Anderson

Bryce Anderson
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