Commodities Market Impact Weather

OMAHA (DTN) -- A stretch of dryness and a warmer week ahead for the Midwest, a warming trend for the Southern Plains and a mostly dry extended outlook for Brazil are the primary weather features for the commodity market's attention Thursday.

WARMER AHEAD IN MIDWEST

The DTN Ag Weather forecast for the Midwest calls for mostly dry conditions through Sunday, which will help drain soils and allow some fieldwork to resume. Scattered shower chances return next week. Temperatures begin increasing by the weekend and are expected to be above- to much-above normal in the six- to 10-day outlook.

WEEKEND WARMING FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

The Central and Southern Plains has seen recent precipitation eliminate or ease drought for much of the region. Colder weather the past couple nights may have caused some minor damage for vulnerable winter wheat, but a warming trend will occur for the weekend and into next week. Winter wheat that has broken dormancy finds generally favorable conditions, but shower chances have dried up until isolated showers move through next week. Dryness and drought may expand due to the lack of consistent showers.

LIMITED PRECIPITATION FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

In the Northern Plains, dryness and drought will continue to build through the weekend. A couple of systems will move across the region next week, but with limited shower chances.

DRYNESS FOR DELTA

Recent rainfall has led to areas of flooding and soggy soils in the Delta, causing some delays for fieldwork and planting. But a stretch of dryness will benefit fieldwork activities into next week.

MAINLY DRY PATTERN IN CENTRAL BRAZIL

In Brazil, moderate to heavy showers have fallen over the south, while it remains mostly dry in the central and north. This has helped immature corn and soybeans in the south, but second-crop (safrinha) corn in the central and north is cause for concern as the start of the dry season gets closer. Showers will start to pop up through central areas this weekend, but models suggest that overall dryness could last through April.

LIMITED SHOWERS FOR ARGENTINA FORECAST

Central Argentina will be mainly dry with showers mostly across the west and south. A system next week may bring more widespread showers.

COLDER AIR FOR EUROPE

For Europe, a blast of colder air moves across the continent next week. Several mornings below freezing could affect vulnerable young plants. Otherwise, soil moisture is favorable for winter crops.

FAVORABLE RUSSIA PATTERN

Colder temperatures expected over most of Europe are expected to moderate before getting into Ukraine and Russia. A typical spring pattern of rising and falling temperatures and occasional periods of showers are expected during the next week, maintaining overall favorable conditions.

Elaine Shein can be reached at elaine.shein@dtn.com

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